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Publications (6 of 6) Show all publications
Agram, N., Øksendal, B., Proske, F. & Tymoshenko, O. (2025). Optimal Control of SPDEs Driven by Time-Space Brownian Motion. SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization, 63(1), 546-570
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Optimal Control of SPDEs Driven by Time-Space Brownian Motion
2025 (English)In: SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization, ISSN 0363-0129, E-ISSN 1095-7138, Vol. 63, no 1, p. 546-570Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, we study the optimal control of systems where the state dynamics are governed by a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by a two-parameter (time-space) Brownian motion, also referred to as a Brownian sheet. These equations can, for example, model the growth of an ecosystem under uncertainty. We first explore some fundamental properties of such linear SPDEs. Next, utilizing time-space white noise calculus, we derive both Pontryagin-type necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimality of the control. Finally, we illustrate our results by solving a linear-quadratic control problem and examining an optimal harvesting problem in the plane. Potential applications to machine learning and to managing random environmental influences are also discussed.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM), 2025
Keywords
Brownian sheet, optimal control, SPDE
National Category
Computational Mathematics Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-360604 (URN)10.1137/23M1595308 (DOI)2-s2.0-85217909514 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20250228

Available from: 2025-02-26 Created: 2025-02-26 Last updated: 2025-02-28Bibliographically approved
Agram, N., Øksendal, B. & Rems, J. (2024). Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market. Digital Finance, 6(3), 463-499
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market
2024 (English)In: Digital Finance, ISSN 2524-6984, Vol. 6, no 3, p. 463-499Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We propose a deep learning approach to study the minimal variance pricing and hedging problem in an incomplete jump diffusion market. It is based on a rigorous stochastic calculus derivation of the optimal hedging portfolio, optimal option price, and the corresponding equivalent martingale measure through the means of the Stackelberg game approach. A deep learning algorithm based on the combination of the feed-forward and LSTM neural networks is tested on three different market models, two of which are incomplete. In contrast, the complete market Black–Scholes model serves as a benchmark for the algorithm’s performance. The results that indicate the algorithm’s good performance are presented and discussed. In particular, we apply our results to the special incomplete market model studied by Merton and give a detailed comparison between our results based on the minimal variance principle and the results obtained by Merton based on a different pricing principle. Using deep learning, we find that the minimal variance principle leads to typically higher option prices than those deduced from the Merton principle. On the other hand, the minimal variance principle leads to lower losses than the Merton principle.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
Keywords
Option pricing, Incomplete market, Equivalent martingale measure, Merton model, Deep learning, LSTM
National Category
Computational Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-350816 (URN)10.1007/s42521-024-00112-5 (DOI)2-s2.0-85207844647 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697
Note

QC 20240722

Available from: 2024-07-21 Created: 2024-07-21 Last updated: 2025-03-20Bibliographically approved
Grid, M., Agram, N., Kebiri, O. & Øksendal, B. (2024). Deep learning for solving initial path optimization of mean-field systems with memory. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probablitiy and Stochastic Processes
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deep learning for solving initial path optimization of mean-field systems with memory
2024 (English)In: Stochastics: An International Journal of Probablitiy and Stochastic Processes, ISSN 1744-2508, E-ISSN 1744-2516Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

We consider the problem of finding the optimal initial investment strategy for a system modelled by a linear McKean–Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equation with delay, driven by Brownian motion and a pure jump Poisson random measure. The goal is to determine the optimal initial values for the system in the period [−𝛿,0], where 𝛿>0 is a delay constant, before the system starts at t = 0. Due to the delay in the dynamics, the system will, after startup, be influenced by these initial investment values. It is known that linear stochastic delay differential equations are equivalent to stochastic Volterra integral equations. By utilizing this equivalence, we can find implicit expressions for the optimal investment. Moreover, we propose a deep neural network-based algorithm to solve the stochastic control problem with delay. Specifically, we employ a multi-layer feed-forward neural network for control modelling in the interval [−𝛿,0], and use back-propagation to train the feed-forward neural network. The gradient of the loss function is computed using stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with respect to the weights of the network.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Informa UK Limited, 2024
National Category
Mathematical sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-366373 (URN)10.1080/17442508.2024.2402741 (DOI)001325330200001 ()2-s2.0-85205341015 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697
Note

QC 20250716

Available from: 2025-07-07 Created: 2025-07-07 Last updated: 2025-07-16Bibliographically approved
Agram, N. & Øksendal, B. (2024). Optimal stopping of conditional McKean–Vlasov jump diffusions. Systems & control letters (Print), 188, Article ID 105815.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Optimal stopping of conditional McKean–Vlasov jump diffusions
2024 (English)In: Systems & control letters (Print), ISSN 0167-6911, E-ISSN 1872-7956, Vol. 188, article id 105815Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problem of conditional McKean–Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equations with jumps (conditional McKean–Vlasov jump diffusions, for short). We obtain sufficient variational inequalities for a function to be the value function of such a problem and for a stopping time to be optimal.

The key is that we combine the conditional McKean–Vlasov equation with the associated stochastic Fokker–Planck partial integro-differential equation for the conditional law of the state. This leads to a Markovian system which can be handled by using a version of a Dynkin formula.

Our verification result is illustrated by finding the optimal time to sell in a market with common noise and jumps.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-346047 (URN)10.1016/j.sysconle.2024.105815 (DOI)001236846300001 ()2-s2.0-85191661714 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697
Note

QC 20240617

Available from: 2024-05-01 Created: 2024-05-01 Last updated: 2024-08-28Bibliographically approved
Agram, N. & Øksendal, B. (2023). Stochastic Fokker-Planck equations for conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions and applications to optimal control. SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization, 61(3), 1472-1493
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Stochastic Fokker-Planck equations for conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions and applications to optimal control
2023 (English)In: SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization, ISSN 0363-0129, E-ISSN 1095-7138, Vol. 61, no 3, p. 1472-1493Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this paper is to study optimal control of conditional McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equations with jumps (conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffu-sions, for short). To this end, we first prove a stochastic Fokker-Planck equation for the conditional law of the solution of such equations. Combining this equation with the original state equation, we obtain a Markovian system for the state and its conditional law. Furthermore, we apply this to formulate a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for the optimal control of conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions. Then we study the situation when the law is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure. In that case the Fokker-Planck equation reduces to a stochastic par-tial differential equation for the Radon-Nikodym derivative of the conditional law. Finally we apply these results to solve explicitly the linear-quadratic optimal control problem of conditional stochastic McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, and optimal consumption from a cash flow.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM), 2023
Keywords
jump diffusion, common noise, conditional McKean-Vlasov differential equation, stochastic Fokker-Planck equation, optimal control, HJB equation
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-334288 (URN)10.1137/21M1461034 (DOI)001031998600016 ()2-s2.0-85163551831 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20231122

Available from: 2023-08-18 Created: 2023-08-18 Last updated: 2023-11-22Bibliographically approved
Agram, N. & Øksendal, B. (2023). The Donsker delta function and local time for McKean–Vlasov processes and applications. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probablitiy and Stochastic Processes, 1-18
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Donsker delta function and local time for McKean–Vlasov processes and applications
2023 (English)In: Stochastics: An International Journal of Probablitiy and Stochastic Processes, ISSN 1744-2508, E-ISSN 1744-2516, p. 1-18Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this paper is to establish a stochastic differential equation for the Donsker delta measure of the solution of a McKean–Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equation. If the Donsker delta measure is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure, then its Radon–Nikodym derivative is called the Donsker delta function. In that case it can be proved that the local time of such a process is simply the integral with respect to time of the Donsker delta function. Therefore we also get an equation for the local time of such a process. For some particular McKean–Vlasov processes, we find explicit expressions for their Donsker delta functions and hence for their local times. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Informa UK Limited, 2023
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-346046 (URN)10.1080/17442508.2023.2286252 (DOI)001115160100001 ()2-s2.0-85179971272 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697
Note

QC 20240502

Available from: 2024-05-01 Created: 2024-05-01 Last updated: 2024-08-28Bibliographically approved
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-5168-142X

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