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Bano, S. U., Weiss, X., Rolander, A., Ghandhari, M. & Eriksson, R. (2024). Investigating the Performance of MLE and CNN for Transient Stability Assessment in Power Systems. IEEE Access, 12, 125095-125107
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Investigating the Performance of MLE and CNN for Transient Stability Assessment in Power Systems
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2024 (English)In: IEEE Access, E-ISSN 2169-3536, Vol. 12, p. 125095-125107Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In power systems, maintaining transient stability is crucial to avoid unanticipated blackouts. The role of Transient Stability Assessment (TSA) is vital for quickly identifying and promptly addressing instabilities. TSA facilitates rapid reactions to serious fault conditions. This paper pioneers the integrated comparison of two distinct methodologies-Maximal Lyapunov Exponent (MLE) methods and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)-in a single unified framework for transient stability assessment in power systems, uniquely evaluating their accuracy and reliability for TSA. The CNN-based method uses measured time series data from voltage magnitude, phase angle, and frequency measurements at generator buses, while the MLE approach utilizes both phase angles and frequency of generator buses. This paper provides a qualitative and quantitative comparison of the performance and accuracy of MLE and CNN. This research utilizes the same case studies conducted on the Nordic32 system for both MLE and CNN to ensure robust, unbiased comparisons and promote interdisciplinary research, aligning with current trends in AI integration in power systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2024
Keywords
Maximum likelihood estimation, Power system stability, Stability criteria, Trajectory, Time series analysis, Generators, Transient analysis, Lyapunov methods, Convolutional neural networks, Time-domain analysis, Phasor measurement units, Maximal Lyapunov exponent (MLE), convolutional neural networks (CNN), time domain simulation (TDS), transient stability assessment (TSA), phasor measurement unit (PMU)
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-354377 (URN)10.1109/ACCESS.2024.3452594 (DOI)001316097600001 ()2-s2.0-85203426255 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20241004

Available from: 2024-10-04 Created: 2024-10-04 Last updated: 2024-10-07Bibliographically approved
Rolander, A., Ter Vehn, A., Eriksson, R. & Nordström, L. (2024). Real-time transient stability early warning system using Graph Attention Networks. Electric power systems research, 235, Article ID 110786.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Real-time transient stability early warning system using Graph Attention Networks
2024 (English)In: Electric power systems research, ISSN 0378-7796, E-ISSN 1873-2046, Vol. 235, article id 110786Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, a classifier based early warning system is designed, trained and tested based on time-series of Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) measurements at all buses in a power system. The classifier is based on a novel combination of Graph Attention Networks and Long Short-Term memories, and is trained to label power system data in the form of captured windows of PMU measurements. These labels are then used to provide early warning for transient instability. The classifier is trained and tested data from simulations of the Nordic44 test system, and includes extensive topological variations under two different load levels. It is found that accurate early warnings can be provided, but the quality of prediction is highly dependent on specific power system characteristics, such as how quickly the power system responds to transient disturbances.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
Keywords
Graph Attention Networks, Phasor measurements, Smart grid, Transient stability, WAMS
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-352112 (URN)10.1016/j.epsr.2024.110786 (DOI)001286077300001 ()2-s2.0-85197392656 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20240822

Available from: 2024-08-22 Created: 2024-08-22 Last updated: 2024-08-22Bibliographically approved
Malmer, G., Samuelsson, O., Rolander, A., Nordström, L., Hillberg, E. & Ackeby, S. (2024). System Integrity Protection Schemes in the Nordics - A comparative analysis. In: IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2024: . Paper presented at 2024 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe Conference, ISGT EUROPE 2024, Dubrovnik, Croatia, October 14-17, 2024. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>System Integrity Protection Schemes in the Nordics - A comparative analysis
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2024 (English)In: IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2024, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

To increase the utilisation rate of the power system and accelerate electrification while providing a high degree of security and reliability, System Integrity Protection Schemes (SIPS) are of great importance. SIPS functions are automatic remedial actions, detecting abnormal conditions or contingencies in the system and taking control action to mitigate these conditions. Design, implementation, maintenance and coordination of SIPS are all important aspects for desired operation. However, different actors have chosen different approaches to using SIPS for capacity enhancement, and there are discrepancies in how capacity is valued in relation to for example complexity, reliability and risk. Additionally, definitions often vary between countries. This paper reports on a joint survey and interview study on SIPS with stakeholders and experts in the Nordic countries - including TSOs, DSOs and industry. Combined with a literature review, a comparison and analysis of how SIPS are used in the Nordics is performed, particularly in relation to ENTSO-E capacity allocation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2024
Keywords
automation, capacity allocation, congestion management, protection schemes, remedial actions, SIPS
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-361446 (URN)10.1109/ISGTEUROPE62998.2024.10863380 (DOI)2-s2.0-86000004931 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2024 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe Conference, ISGT EUROPE 2024, Dubrovnik, Croatia, October 14-17, 2024
Note

Part of ISBN 9789531842976

QC 20250320

Available from: 2025-03-19 Created: 2025-03-19 Last updated: 2025-03-20Bibliographically approved
Rolander, A., Weiss, X., Eriksson, R. & Nordström, L. (2023). Real-Time Power System Stability Monitoring using Convolutional Neural Networks. In: Proceedings of 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023: . Paper presented at 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Grenoble, France, Oct 23 2023 - Oct 26 2023. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Real-Time Power System Stability Monitoring using Convolutional Neural Networks
2023 (English)In: Proceedings of 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In this paper, we present a method for real-time transient stability prediction based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) using a novel CNN architecture compared to previous works on the topic. The method is based on monitoring voltage phasor and frequency measurements at the generator terminal buses, which are presented to the neural network in the form of three channel RGB images, taken as a sliding window. The sliding window consists of the most current set of measurements, as well as the four most recent historical measurements for a total of five time steps. When deployed, the neural network is continuously fed real-time measurements, thereby functioning as a real-time stability monitoring system. The neural network is trained and tested on simulated data of the Nordic32 system using five-fold cross-validation. The trained classifier is able to accurately predict instability in all but one case from the test set. In the successfully identified unstable cases, instability was predicted five cycles after fault clearance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2023
Keywords
Convolutional neural networks, Phasor Measurement Units, Stability monitoring, Transient stability
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-344562 (URN)10.1109/ISGTEUROPE56780.2023.10408737 (DOI)2-s2.0-85187253650 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Grenoble, France, Oct 23 2023 - Oct 26 2023
Note

Part of ISBN 9798350396782

QC 20240326

Available from: 2024-03-20 Created: 2024-03-20 Last updated: 2024-03-26Bibliographically approved
Weiss, X., Nordström, L., Hilber, P. & Rolander, A. (2023). Weather Event Preparedness Modelling for Distribution Systems. In: Proceedings of 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023: . Paper presented at 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Grenoble, France, Oct 23 2023 - Oct 26 2023. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Weather Event Preparedness Modelling for Distribution Systems
2023 (English)In: Proceedings of 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Distribution level outages generally affect fewer customers than regional or transmission level outages. However, as global temperatures continue to rise, the radial topology and overhead lines typical at this level make it particularly vulnerable to High Impact Low Probability weather events. A Machine Learning model is therefore proposed that uses Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) to predict the likelihood of an outage given the weather conditions and the composition of the Distribution System Operator (DSO). The model is tuned by using a traditional binary classification problem as ground truth, but is evaluated based on its probability distributions near outage events. Results show a greater classification confidence for true outages than false outages as well as a probability distribution that is skewed towards actual outage events.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2023
Keywords
Forecasting, Power outages, Regression analysis, Resilience, Resilient systems, Risk analysis, Weather
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-344563 (URN)10.1109/ISGTEUROPE56780.2023.10407604 (DOI)2-s2.0-85187311764 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe, ISGT EUROPE 2023, Grenoble, France, Oct 23 2023 - Oct 26 2023
Note

Part of ISBN 9798350396782

QC 20240321

Available from: 2024-03-20 Created: 2024-03-20 Last updated: 2024-03-21Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-5380-5289

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