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A self-partitioning local neuro fuzzy model for short-term load forecasting in smart grids
Univ Tehran, Coll Engn, Sch Ind Engn, Tehran, Iran..
Univ Tehran, Coll Engn, Sch Ind Engn, Tehran, Iran..
Univ Tehran, Coll Engn, Sch Ind Engn, Tehran, Iran..
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electromagnetic Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2964-7233
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2020 (English)In: Energy, ISSN 0360-5442, E-ISSN 1873-6785, Vol. 199, article id 117514Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Electric power systems are moving toward smarter and more sustainable systems. These trends result in several positive advantages such as active participation of customers in electricity markets. However, resulting demand side flexibilities cause high demand fluctuations and increase the difficulty to maintain the power balance and reliability of smart grids. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a self-partitioning local neuro fuzzy model, which is capable of performing a fast and accurate short-term load forecasting. The proposed model, not only maintains the linearity as well as learning-from-data property via their fuzzy inference systems of local linear neuro fuzzy, but also benefits from partitioning the input space into linear and nonlinear vectors and assigning them separately into different local models. The proposed model is trained with the hierarchical binary-tree learning algorithm and rule premises are calculated through sigmoid partitioning functions. These appealing properties make the model appropriate for a fast and accurate analysis of the load time series featuring both linear and nonlinear characteristics. The effectiveness of the proposed model is compared with recently published forecasting models in terms of statistical performance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD , 2020. Vol. 199, article id 117514
Keywords [en]
Short-term load forecasting, Smart grids, Self-partitioning local neuro fuzzy model, Hierarchical binary tree learning
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-273091DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117514ISI: 000527571300065Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85083116116OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-273091DiVA, id: diva2:1429547
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QC 20200511

Available from: 2020-05-11 Created: 2020-05-11 Last updated: 2022-10-24Bibliographically approved

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Hilber, PatrikShayesteh, Ebrahim

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