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Efficient prediction of turbulent flow quantities using a Bayesian hierarchical multifidelity model
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Centres, Linné Flow Center, FLOW. KTH, Centres, SeRC - Swedish e-Science Research Centre. KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Engineering Mechanics. Univ Manchester, Dept Fluids & Environm, Manchester M13 9PL, England..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9610-9910
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Centres, Linné Flow Center, FLOW. KTH, Centres, SeRC - Swedish e-Science Research Centre. KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Engineering Mechanics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2195-8408
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Centres, Linné Flow Center, FLOW. KTH, Centres, SeRC - Swedish e-Science Research Centre. KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Engineering Mechanics. Friedrich Alexander Univ Erlangen Nurnberg FAU, Inst Fluid Mech LSTM, DE-91058 Erlangen, Germany..ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9627-5903
2023 (English)In: Journal of Fluid Mechanics, ISSN 0022-1120, E-ISSN 1469-7645, Vol. 964, article id A13Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Multifidelity models (MFMs) can be used to construct predictive models for flow quantities of interest (QoIs) over the space of uncertain/design parameters, with the purpose of uncertainty quantification, data fusion and optimization. For numerical simulation of turbulence, there is a hierarchy of methodologies ranked by accuracy and cost, where each methodology may have several numerical/modelling parameters that control the predictive accuracy and robustness of its resulting outputs. Compatible with these specifications, the present hierarchical MFM strategy allows for simultaneous calibration of the fidelity-specific parameters in a Bayesian framework as developed by Goh et al. (Technometrics, vol. 55, no. 4, 2013, pp. 501-512). The purpose of the MFM is to provide an improved prediction, mainly interpolation over the range covered by training data, by combining lower-and higher-fidelity data in an optimal way for any number of fidelity levels; even providing confidence intervals for the resulting QoI. The capabilities of the MFM are first demonstrated on an illustrative toy problem, and it is then applied to three realistic cases relevant to engineering turbulent flows. The latter include the prediction of friction at different Reynolds numbers in turbulent channel flow, the prediction of aerodynamic coefficients for a range of angles of attack of a standard airfoil and the uncertainty propagation and sensitivity analysis of the separation bubble in the turbulent flow over periodic hills subject to geometrical uncertainties. In all cases, based on only a few high-fidelity data samples, the MFM leads to accurate predictions of the QoIs. The result of the uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analyses are also found to be accurate compared with the ground truth in each case.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press (CUP) , 2023. Vol. 964, article id A13
Keywords [en]
computational methods, machine learning, turbulence simulation
National Category
Fluid Mechanics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-329460DOI: 10.1017/jfm.2023.327ISI: 000996043500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85162157521OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-329460DiVA, id: diva2:1771858
Note

QC 20230621

Available from: 2023-06-21 Created: 2023-06-21 Last updated: 2025-02-09Bibliographically approved

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Rezaeiravesh, SalehMukha, TimofeySchlatter, Philipp

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