Vital sign-based detection of sepsis in neonates using machine learningShow others and affiliations
2023 (English)In: Acta Paediatrica, ISSN 0803-5253, E-ISSN 1651-2227, Vol. 112, no 4, p. 686-696Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Aim: Sepsis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in neonates. Early diagnosis is key but difficult due to non-specific signs. We investigate the predictive value of machine learning-assisted analysis of non-invasive, high frequency monitoring data and demographic factors to detect neonatal sepsis. Methods: Single centre study, including a representative cohort of 325 infants (2866 hospitalisation days). Personalised event timelines including interventions and clinical findings were generated. Time-domain features from heart rate, respiratory rate and oxygen saturation values were calculated and demographic factors included. Sepsis prediction was performed using Naïve Bayes algorithm in a maximum a posteriori framework up to 24 h before clinical sepsis suspicion. Results: Twenty sepsis cases were identified. Combining multiple vital signs improved algorithm performance compared to heart rate characteristics alone. This enabled a prediction of sepsis with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.82, up to 24 h before clinical sepsis suspicion. Moreover, 10 h prior to clinical suspicion, the risk of sepsis increased 150-fold. Conclusion: The present algorithm using non-invasive patient data provides useful predictive value for neonatal sepsis detection. Machine learning-assisted algorithms are promising novel methods that could help individualise patient care and reduce morbidity and mortality.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Wiley , 2023. Vol. 112, no 4, p. 686-696
Keywords [en]
artificial intelligence, clinical decision support system, Naïve Bayes classifier, physiological monitoring, prediction, respiration-related
National Category
Pediatrics Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-330037DOI: 10.1111/apa.16660ISI: 000919031600001PubMedID: 36607251Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85147263614OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-330037DiVA, id: diva2:1775689
Note
QC 20230627
2023-06-272023-06-272023-06-27Bibliographically approved