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Deep learning for conditional McKean–Vlasov jump diffusions
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Probability, Mathematical Physics and Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1662-0215
Department of Mathematics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
2025 (English)In: Systems & control letters (Print), ISSN 0167-6911, E-ISSN 1872-7956, Vol. 201, article id 106100Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The current paper focuses on using deep learning methods to optimize the control of conditional McKean–Vlasov jump diffusions. We begin by exploring the dynamics of multi-particle jump-diffusion and presenting the propagation of chaos. The optimal control problem in the context of conditional McKean–Vlasov jump-diffusion is introduced along with the verification theorem (HJB equation). A linear quadratic conditional mean-field (LQ CMF) is discussed to illustrate these theoretical concepts. Then, we introduce a deep-learning algorithm that combines neural networks for optimization with path signatures for conditional expectation estimation. The algorithm is applied to practical examples, including LQ CMF and interbank systemic risk, and we share the resulting numerical outcomes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 201, article id 106100
Keywords [en]
Common noise, Deep learning, McKean–Vlasov jump diffusion, Signatures
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-363102DOI: 10.1016/j.sysconle.2025.106100ISI: 001477537500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105002841930OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-363102DiVA, id: diva2:1956351
Note

QC 20250619

Available from: 2025-05-06 Created: 2025-05-06 Last updated: 2025-06-19Bibliographically approved

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Agram, Nacira

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