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Ex-post assessment of public transportation on-board crowding induced by new urban developments
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8040-1001
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8499-0843
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1514-6777
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4106-3126
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2025 (English)In: Cities, ISSN 0264-2751, E-ISSN 1873-6084, Vol. 165, article id 106093Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

On-board crowding in public transportation has significant impact on passengers' travel experience. New land-use planning configurations can have wide-ranging crowding effects in the public transportation system. Nevertheless, there is a lack of knowledge on the crowding implications caused by new urban developments. In this study, we propose a method for quantifying the network-wide crowding implications of a new urban development. We apply the method to different kinds of urban developments in terms of type, size, location, proximity to high-capacity public transportation connections as well as socioeconomic characteristics. Size and proximity to a high-capacity connection are highly influential factors in determining the value and the geographical extent of the crowding implications. The analysis proposed in this paper can serve as a tool for the ex-post quantification of the on-board crowding impacts using automated data sources. The insights gained can be utilized in more efficient dimensioning of the supply (service) for newly developed areas as well as for placement of future urban developments accounting for the resulting crowding effects.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 165, article id 106093
Keywords [en]
Public transportation, Urban development, Crowding, Smart card data
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-363970DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106093ISI: 001501318200003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105006482118OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-363970DiVA, id: diva2:1962444
Funder
Region Stockholm, RS 2022-0210TrenOp, Transport Research Environment with Novel Perspectives
Note

QC 20250602

Available from: 2025-05-30 Created: 2025-05-30 Last updated: 2025-06-12Bibliographically approved

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Skoufas, AnastasiosCebecauer, MatejBurghout, WilcoJenelius, ErikCats, Oded

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