kth.sePublikationer
Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Surrogate models for rural energy planning: Application to Bolivian lowlands isolated communities
Univ Liege, Integrated & Sustainable Energy Syst, Liege, Belgium.;San Simon Univ, Ctr Univ Invest Energia, Cochabamba, Bolivia..
Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Milan, Italy.;Delft Univ Technol, Dept Engn Syst & Serv, Delft, Netherlands..
Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Milan, Italy.;FEEM Fdn Eni Enrico Mattei, Milan, Italy..
KTH, Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM), Energiteknik.
Visa övriga samt affilieringar
2021 (Engelska)Ingår i: Energy, ISSN 0360-5442, E-ISSN 1873-6785, Vol. 232, artikel-id 121108Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Thanks to their modularity and their capacity to adapt to different contexts, hybrid microgrids are a promising solution to decrease greenhouse gas emissions worldwide. To properly assess their impact in different settings at country or cross-country level, microgrids must be designed for each particular situation, which leads to computationally intractable problems. To tackle this issue, a methodology is proposed to create surrogate models using machine learning techniques and a database of microgrids. The selected regression model is based on Gaussian Processes and allows to drastically decrease the computation time relative to the optimal deployment of the technology. The results indicate that the proposed methodology can accurately predict key optimization variables for the design of the microgrid system. The regression models are especially well suited to estimate the net present cost and the levelized cost of electricity (R-2 = 0.99 and 0.98). Their accuracy is lower when predicting internal system variables such as installed capacities of PV and batteries (R-2 = 0.92 and 0.86). A least-cost path towards 100% electrification coverage for the Bolivian lowlands mid-size communities is finally computed, demonstrating the usability and computational efficiency of the proposed framework.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Elsevier BV , 2021. Vol. 232, artikel-id 121108
Nyckelord [en]
Microgrids, Energy planning, Isolated energy systems, Ruralelectrification, Open energy modelling
Nationell ämneskategori
Energiteknik Energisystem Reglerteknik
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-304286DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121108ISI: 000707611000011Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85107544539OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-304286DiVA, id: diva2:1607368
Anmärkning

QC 20211101

Tillgänglig från: 2021-11-01 Skapad: 2021-11-01 Senast uppdaterad: 2022-06-25Bibliografiskt granskad

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltext saknas i DiVA

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltextScopus

Person

Pena Balderrama, J. Gabriela

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Pena Balderrama, J. Gabriela
Av organisationen
Energiteknik
I samma tidskrift
Energy
EnergiteknikEnergisystemReglerteknik

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 121 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf