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Meeting the future in the past-using counterfactual history to imagine computing futures
KTH, Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS), Medieteknik och interaktionsdesign, MID.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-7662-9687
KTH, Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS), Medieteknik och interaktionsdesign, MID.
2018 (engelsk)Inngår i: ACM International Conference Proceeding Series, Association for Computing Machinery , 2018Konferansepaper, Publicerat paper (Fagfellevurdert)
Abstract [en]

The future is inherently hard to predict, yet we know there are various factors that will limit the future of computing (scarcity of materials, energy shortages and various biophysical limits) in both substantial and disruptive ways. When we look at the past and at mainstream projected computing futures, all we see is exponential growth. While it is easy to reject such trajectories, it is much harder to imagine and propose credible, preferable and evocative alternatives. Breaking away from default modes of thinking about computing is difficult but possible, and we here present a methodology-counterfactual history-that can help us imagine alternative scenarios for computing. We argue that by learning from counterfactual pasts ("what-if scenarios"), we can more easily liberate our ideas from various preconceptions that hamper them and box them in. This makes it possible to generate and entertain a more diverse "portfolio" of ideas about the future and help us better prepare for meeting future challenges.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Association for Computing Machinery , 2018.
Emneord [en]
Computing within limits, Counterfactual history, Defamiliarization, Computer applications, Computer programming, Energy shortages, Exponential growth, Future challenges, What-if scenarios, Financial markets
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-247218DOI: 10.1145/3232617.3232621Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85058225651ISBN: 9781450365758 (tryckt)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-247218DiVA, id: diva2:1303186
Konferanse
2018 Workshop on Computing within Limits, LIMITS 2018, 13 May 2018 through 14 May 2018
Merknad

QC 20190409

Tilgjengelig fra: 2019-04-09 Laget: 2019-04-09 Sist oppdatert: 2019-04-09bibliografisk kontrollert

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