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Crises in Stockholm’s Office Market: Any Signs Today?
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.
2019 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Kriser i centrala Stockholms kontorsmarknad : Några tecken idag? (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

The office market in central Stockholm has since the financial crises in ‘08 showed remarkablegrowth and the current conditions are compared to the once under the previous crises. Thecommercial real estate market has had a substantial role in the last crises, as it is sensitive to cyclesand has high indebtedness. The study aimed to evaluate the market today by comparing it withforemostly the crises in Sweden in the 90s and dotcom-era, but also the great recession in’08.Further, the perception of the market actors was analysed. The methodology was qualitative, as sixprofessionals have been interviewed representing property companies, consultancy firms, bank,and institutional owners. The result shows more differences than similarities to the past crises, inboth macro and micro level. Furthermore, consensus had an optimistic view of the future and thereal estate market. Central Stockholm office market can be regarded as more professional andstable. However, there are uncertainties which were not present during the crises, such ascoworking, market-financing and low-interest rate. The study suggests that the factor causing thenext crisis is something the market does not know.

Abstract [sv]

Kontorsmarknaden i centrala Stockholm har sedan finanskrisen 2008 visat en stark tillväxt och denuvarande förhållandena har jämförts med de som rådde under tidigare kriser. Kommersiellafastighetsmarknaden har haft en betydande roll i de senaste kriserna, eftersom den är känslig motcykler och har hög skuldsättning. Studien syftade till att jämföra marknaden idag med främstkriserna i Sverige på 90-talet och dotcom, men också den stora finanskrisen 2008. Dessutomanalyseras marknadsaktörernas uppfattning om riskerna för en kris i dagens kontorsmarknad.Metoden var kvalitativ då sex professionella intervjuades som representerade fastighetsbolag,konsultföretag, banker och institutionella ägare. Resultatet visar fler skillnader än likheterna medkriserna på både makro och mikronivå. Vidare hade konsensus en optimistisk syn på marknadensframtid. Centrala Stockholm kan betraktas som mer professionell och stabil. Det finns emellertidosäkerheter som inte var närvarande under kriserna, till exempel coworking, marknadsfinansieringoch de låg räntorna. Studien tyder på att faktorn som kommer orsaka nästa kris är något okänt förmarknaden idag.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. , p. 60
Series
TRITA-ABE-MBT ; 19 197
Keywords [en]
Office market, Stockholm, cap rates, crises, real estate cycles, bubble
Keywords [sv]
Fastighetscykler, kontorsmarknad, direktavkastningskrav, kriser, bubbla
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-254843OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-254843DiVA, id: diva2:1335594
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2019-08-13 Created: 2019-07-05 Last updated: 2019-08-13Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
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