kth.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Importance Sampling for a Simple Markovian Intensity Model Using Subsolutions
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6608-0715
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9210-121X
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8702-2293
2022 (English)In: ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, ISSN 1049-3301, E-ISSN 1558-1195, Vol. 32, no 2, p. 1-25, article id 14Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article considers importance sampling for estimation of rare-event probabilities in a specific collection of Markovian jump processes used for, e.g., modeling of credit risk. Previous attempts at designing importance sampling algorithms have resulted in poor performance and the main contribution of the article is the design of efficient importance sampling algorithms using subsolutions. The dynamics of the jump processes cause the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi equations to have an intricate state-dependence, which makes the design of efficient algorithms difficult. We provide theoretical results that quantify the performance of importance sampling algorithms in general and construct asymptotically optimal algorithms for some examples. The computational gain compared to standard Monte Carlo is illustrated by numerical examples.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) , 2022. Vol. 32, no 2, p. 1-25, article id 14
Keywords [en]
Large deviations, Monte Carlo, importance sampling, Markovian intensity models, credit risk
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-310757DOI: 10.1145/3502432ISI: 000772649100007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85127447384OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-310757DiVA, id: diva2:1650798
Note

QC 20220408

Available from: 2022-04-08 Created: 2022-04-08 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Djehiche, BoualemHult, HenrikNyquist, Pierre

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Djehiche, BoualemHult, HenrikNyquist, Pierre
By organisation
Mathematical Statistics
In the same journal
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation
Probability Theory and Statistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 389 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf