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Mapping Urban Population Growth from Sentinel-2 MSI and Census Data Using Deep Learning: A Case Study in Kigali, Rwanda
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Geoinformatics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3560-638x
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Geoinformatics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0001-2058
University of Rwanda, Kigali, Rwanda.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Geoinformatics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1369-3216
Number of Authors: 42023 (English)In: 2023 Joint Urban Remote Sensing Event, JURSE 2023, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

To better understand current trends of urban population growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, high-quality spatiotemporal population estimates are necessary. While the joint use of remote sensing and deep learning has achieved promising results for population distribution estimation, most of the current work focuses on fine-scale spatial predictions derived from single date census, thereby neglecting temporal analyses. In this work, we focus on evaluating how deep learning change detection techniques can unravel temporal population dynamics at short intervals. Since Post-Classification Comparison (PCC) methods for change detection are known to propagate the error of the individual maps, we propose an end-to-end population growth mapping method. Specifically, a ResNet encoder, pretrained on a population mapping task with Sentinel-2 MSI data, was incorporated into a Siamese network. The Siamese network was trained at the census level to accurately predict population change. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated in Kigali, Rwanda, for the time period 2016-2020, using bi-temporal Sentinel-2 data. Compared to PCC, the Siamese network greatly reduced errors in population change predictions at the census level. These results show promise for future remote sensing-based population growth mapping endeavors. Code is available on GitHub.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023.
Keywords [en]
Population mapping, Siamese network, Sub-Saharan Africa
National Category
Earth Observation
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-334537DOI: 10.1109/JURSE57346.2023.10144139Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85163769298OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-334537DiVA, id: diva2:1790369
Conference
2023 Joint Urban Remote Sensing Event, JURSE 2023, Heraklion, Greece, May 17 2023 - May 19 2023
Note

Part of ISBN 9781665493734

QC 20230822

Available from: 2023-08-22 Created: 2023-08-22 Last updated: 2025-02-10Bibliographically approved

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Hafner, SebastianGeorganos, StefanosBan, Yifang

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