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A Brazilian perspective of power systems integration using OSeMOSYS SAMBA - South America Model Base - and the bargaining power of neighbouring countries: A cooperative games approach
Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Programa Planejamento Energet, Ctr Tecnol, Ilhado Fundao, Bloco C,Sala 211,Cidade Univ, BR-21949972 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil..
Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Programa Planejamento Energet, Ctr Tecnol, Ilhado Fundao, Bloco C,Sala 211,Cidade Univ, BR-21949972 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil..
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Energy Technology, Energy Systems Analysis.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6419-4957
2018 (English)In: Energy Policy, ISSN 0301-4215, E-ISSN 1873-6777, Vol. 115, p. 470-485Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper intends to contribute to a better understanding of both advantages and drawbacks of power systems interconnection processes between Brazil and its South American neighbours. Based on data available in national and international reports, three scenarios for the power supply sector expansion were modelled in OSeMOSYS. The Brazilian perspective of power integration considers funding strategic hydro projects in Argentina, Bolivia, Guyana and Peru. An alternative to the power integration process considers higher penetration of distributed photovoltaics and biogas power plants as well as lower hydro capacity expansion in Brazil. Features related to costs, carbon emissions, hydro reservoirs, technological performance, electricity demand, population growth, time zones and reserve margin were considered. The comparison of different scenarios provides insights regarding the contribution of renewable energy generation and sheds light on cross-border trade perspectives between Brazil and other countries in South America. Using a cooperative games approach, the bargaining power of each country (player) was calculated by applying the Shapley value concept. Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Peru and Guyana have the largest bargaining power, either as exporter or importer.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER SCI LTD , 2018. Vol. 115, p. 470-485
Keywords [en]
Power systems integration, OSeMOSYS SAMBA, Cross-border electricity trade, Cooperative games, Shapley value
National Category
Energy Systems Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-226197DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.01.045ISI: 000428099800046Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85044622734OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-226197DiVA, id: diva2:1207145
Note

QC 20180518

Available from: 2018-05-18 Created: 2018-05-18 Last updated: 2018-05-18Bibliographically approved

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Howells, Mark I.

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