Uncertainty-Accounting Environmental Policy and Management of Water Systems
2007 (English)In: Environmental Science and Technology, ISSN 0013-936X, E-ISSN 1520-5851, Vol. 41, no 10, 3635-3659 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Environmental policies for water quality and ecosystem management do not commonly require explicit stochastic accounts of uncertainty and risk associated with the quantification and prediction of waterborne pollutant loads and abatement effects. In this study, we formulate and investigate a possible environmental policy that does require an explicit stochastic uncertainty account. We compare both the environmental and economic resource allocation performance of such an uncertainty-accounting environmental policy with that of deterministic, risk-prone and risk-averse environmental policies under a range of different hypothetical, yet still possible, scenarios. The comparison indicates that a stochastic uncertainty-accounting policy may perform better than deterministic policies over a range of different scenarios. Even in the absence of reliable site-specific data, reported literature values appear to be useful for such a stochastic account of uncertainty.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2007. Vol. 41, no 10, 3635-3659 p.
COST-EFFECTIVE POLICIES; LOCAL CONCENTRATION STATISTICS; ALTERNATIVE DISTRIBUTIONS; SOLUTE FLUX; BALTIC SEA; TRANSPORT; POLLUTION; PREDICTION; RISK; EUTROPHICATION
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-7188DOI: 10.1021/es061515eISI: 000246371800046ScopusID: 2-s2.0-34250815228OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-7188DiVA: diva2:12121
QC 201006232007-05-282007-05-282010-12-03Bibliographically approved