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Analytical Survival Analysis of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process
KTH, Centres, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics NORDITA.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1676-9645
2020 (English)In: Journal of statistical physics, ISSN 0022-4715, E-ISSN 1572-9613, Vol. 181, no 6, p. 2404-2414Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We use asymptotic methods from the theory of differential equations to obtain an analytical expression for the survival probability of an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with a potential defined over a broad domain. We form a uniformly continuous analytical solution covering the entire domain by asymptotically matching approximate solutions in an interior region, centered around the origin, to those in boundary layers, near the lateral boundaries of the domain. The analytic solution agrees extremely well with the numerical solution and takes into account the non-negligible leakage of probability that occurs at short times when the stochastic process begins close to one of the boundaries. Given the range of applications of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes, the analytic solution is of broad relevance across many fields of natural and engineering science.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer , 2020. Vol. 181, no 6, p. 2404-2414
Keywords [en]
Asymptotics, Fokker–Planck equation, Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process, Survival probability
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-302814DOI: 10.1007/s10955-020-02669-yISI: 000587110000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85095421092OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-302814DiVA, id: diva2:1599810
Note

QC 20211001

Available from: 2021-10-01 Created: 2021-10-01 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

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Wettlaufer, John

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