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Decarbonization pathways for the power sector in Sumatra, Indonesia
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Energy Technology, Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7724-8384
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Energy Technology, Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0033-9982
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Energy Technology, Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2916-4004
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Energy Technology. Global Ventures AB, Sustainable Vis, Stockholm, Sweden..ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7123-1824
2021 (English)In: Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, ISSN 1364-0321, E-ISSN 1879-0690, Vol. 150, article id 111507Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Indonesian power sector faces the combined challenge to (i) satisfy growing electricity demand at an affordable cost and (ii) comply with the decarbonization targets committed under the Paris Agreement. In this study, we investigate cost-optimal pathways for the development of the power sector in line with climate targets. We used the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) software tool to build a power-system expansion model for Sumatra and simulated four scenarios representing a business as usual development, the current development plans, and two mitigation pathways in line with the national climate targets. Particular focus is put on bioenergy, an energy source that has been often overlooked in previous studies and plans. The results show that, although the national plans consider mitigation actions, they do not reduce coal dependency. Besides, current development plans are not cost-effective and have high marginal abatement costs for emissions reduction. The two mitigation scenarios achieve better environmental results at lower system costs. Our results show that bioenergy deployment can contribute significantly to achieving the greenhouse gas (GHG) targets of 19% and 24% pledged by the Indonesian government. More efficient use of modern renewables and natural gas can reduce Sumatra's dependence on coal resources.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2021. Vol. 150, article id 111507
Keywords [en]
Decarbonization, Power system modeling, Nationally determined contributions (NDC), Biomass power, Low emissions analysis platform (LEAP), Indonesia
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-303043DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111507ISI: 000698441200006Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85111238278OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-303043DiVA, id: diva2:1602956
Note

QC 20211014

Available from: 2021-10-14 Created: 2021-10-14 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

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Sani, LorenzoKhatiwada, DilipHarahap, FumiSilveira, Semida

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