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Empirical Methods
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9210-121X
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematics (Div.).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0775-9680
2012 (English)In: Risk and Portfolio Analysis, Springer Nature , 2012, p. 197-229Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In this chapter we consider a modeling approach that uses a set of historical data, such as bond prices, share prices, claim sizes, or exchange rates, to model the value at a future time T > 0 of portfolios whose values depend on a given set of assets and possibly also liabilities. Here we want the data to speak for themselves in the sense that the model for the future values should only be based on information available in the given historical data samples. The assumption we make is therefore that the information in the samples is representative of future values and that no additional probability beliefs of the modeler are relevant.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2012. p. 197-229
Series
Springer Series in Operations Research and Financial Engineering
Keywords [en]
Chain Ladder Method, Claim Size, Future Portfolio Value, Historical Sample Data, Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR)
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-304454DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-4103-8_7Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85098144185OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-304454DiVA, id: diva2:1608683
Note

QC 20211104

Available from: 2021-11-04 Created: 2021-11-04 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

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Hult, HenrikLindskog, Filip

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