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A multiple sclerosis disease progression measure based on cumulative disability
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2021 (English)In: Multiple Sclerosis Journal, ISSN 1352-4585, E-ISSN 1477-0970, Vol. 27, no 12, p. 1875-1883Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Existing severity measurements in multiple sclerosis (MS) are often cross-sectional, making longitudinal comparisons of disease course between individuals difficult. Objective: The objective of this study is to create a severity metric that can reliably summarize a patient’s disease course. Methods: We developed the nARMSS – normalized ARMSS (age-related MS severity score) over follow-up, using the deviation of individual ARMSS scores from the expected value and integrated over the corresponding time period. The nARMSS scales from −5 to +5; a positive value indicates a more severe disease course for a patient when compared to other patients with similar disease timings. Results: Using Swedish MS registry data, the nARMSS was tested using data at 2 and 4 years of follow-up to predict the most severe quartile during the subsequent period up to 10 years total follow-up. The metric used was area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC). This resulted in measurements of 0.929 and 0.941. In an external Canadian validation cohort, the equivalent AUC-ROCs were 0.901 and 0.908. Conclusion: The nARMSS provides a reliable, generalizable and easily measurable metric which makes longitudinal comparison of disease course between individuals feasible.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
SAGE Publications Ltd , 2021. Vol. 27, no 12, p. 1875-1883
Keywords [en]
disability, Multiple sclerosis, outcome, progression measure, adult, age related multiple sclerosis severity score, Article, cognitive function test, cohort analysis, controlled study, diagnostic test accuracy study, disease exacerbation, disease severity, disease severity assessment, Expanded Disability Status Scale, female, follow up, human, major clinical study, male, receiver operating characteristic, sensitivity and specificity, Swedish citizen, symbol digit modalities test
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Neurology
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URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-304639DOI: 10.1177/1352458520988632ISI: 000677408700001PubMedID: 33487091Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85100010936OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-304639DiVA, id: diva2:1611486
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QC 20211115

Available from: 2021-11-15 Created: 2021-11-15 Last updated: 2022-10-24Bibliographically approved

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Ramanujam, Ryan

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