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Hidden Markov Models: Inverse Filtering, Belief Estimation and Privacy Protection
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9694-488X
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4533-4971
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0355-2663
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Optimization and Systems Theory.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0177-1993
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2021 (English)In: Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, ISSN 1009-6124, E-ISSN 1559-7067, Vol. 34, no 5, p. 1801-1820Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A hidden Markov model (HMM) comprises a state with Markovian dynamics that can only be observed via noisy sensors. This paper considers three problems connected to HMMs, namely, inverse filtering, belief estimation from actions, and privacy enforcement in such a context. First, the authors discuss how HMM parameters and sensor measurements can be reconstructed from posterior distributions of an HMM filter. Next, the authors consider a rational decision-maker that forms a private belief (posterior distribution) on the state of the world by filtering private information. The authors show how to estimate such posterior distributions from observed optimal actions taken by the agent. In the setting of adversarial systems, the authors finally show how the decision-maker can protect its private belief by confusing the adversary using slightly sub-optimal actions. Applications range from financial portfolio investments to life science decision systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2021. Vol. 34, no 5, p. 1801-1820
Keywords [en]
Belief estimation, counter-adversarial systems, hidden Markov models, inverse decision making, inverse filtering
National Category
Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-304776DOI: 10.1007/s11424-021-1247-1ISI: 000711413600011Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85117912337OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-304776DiVA, id: diva2:1612535
Note

QC 20211118

Available from: 2021-11-18 Created: 2021-11-18 Last updated: 2023-12-05Bibliographically approved

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Lourenço, InêsMattila, RobertRojas, Cristian R.Hu, XiaomingWahlberg, Bo

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Lourenço, InêsMattila, RobertRojas, Cristian R.Hu, XiaomingWahlberg, Bo
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Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control)Optimization and Systems Theory
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