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Second-order reliability methods: a review and comparative study
Missouri Univ Sci & Technol, Mech & Aerosp Engn, 400 West 13th St, Rolla, MO 65409 USA..
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Engineering Mechanics, Vehicle Engineering and Solid Mechanics, Solid Mechanics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6375-6292
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Engineering Mechanics, Vehicle Engineering and Solid Mechanics, Solid Mechanics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8068-2360
Purdue Sch Engn & Technol, Mech & Energy Engn, 799 W Michigan St, Indianapolis, IN 46202 USA..
2021 (English)In: Structural and multidisciplinary optimization (Print), ISSN 1615-147X, E-ISSN 1615-1488, Vol. 64, no 6, p. 3233-3263Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Second-order reliability methods are commonly used for the computation of reliability, defined as the probability of satisfying an intended function in the presence of uncertainties. These methods can achieve highly accurate reliability predictions owing to a second-order approximation of the limit-state function around the Most Probable Point of failure. Although numerous formulations have been developed, the lack of full-scale comparative studies has led to a dubiety regarding the selection of a suitable method for a specific reliability analysis problem. In this study, the performance of commonly used second-order reliability methods is assessed based on the problem scale, curvatures at the Most Probable Point of failure, first-order reliability index, and limit-state contour. The assessment is based on three performance metrics: capability, accuracy, and robustness. The capability is a measure of the ability of a method to compute feasible probabilities, i.e., probabilities between 0 and 1. The accuracy and robustness are quantified based on the mean and standard deviation of relative errors with respect to exact reliabilities, respectively. This study not only provides a review of classical and novel second-order reliability methods, but also gives an insight on the selection of an appropriate reliability method for a given engineering application.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2021. Vol. 64, no 6, p. 3233-3263
Keywords [en]
Second-order reliability method, Performance metrics, Capability, Accuracy, Robustness, First-order reliability method
National Category
Applied Mechanics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-305777DOI: 10.1007/s00158-021-03013-yISI: 000716900400001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85118848722OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-305777DiVA, id: diva2:1617299
Note

QC 20230920

Available from: 2021-12-06 Created: 2021-12-06 Last updated: 2023-09-20Bibliographically approved

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Mansour, RamiOlsson, Mårten

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