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Locational Marginal Price Forecasting Using SVR-Based Multi-Output Regression in Electricity Markets
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electric Power and Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2128-2425
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2022 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 15, no 1, article id 293Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Electricity markets provide valuable data for regulators, operators, and investors. The use of machine learning methods for electricity market data could provide new insights about the market, and this information could be used for decision-making. This paper proposes a tool based on multi-output regression method using support vector machines (SVR) for LMP forecasting. The input corresponds to the active power load of each bus, in this case obtained through Monte Carlo simulations, in order to forecast LMPs. The LMPs provide market signals for investors and regulators. The results showed the high performance of the proposed model, since the average prediction error for fitting and testing datasets of the proposed method on the dataset was less than 1%. This provides insights into the application of machine learning method for electricity markets given the context of uncertainty and volatility for either real-time and ahead markets.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG , 2022. Vol. 15, no 1, article id 293
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-307063DOI: 10.3390/en15010293ISI: 000751319900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85122108233OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-307063DiVA, id: diva2:1625878
Note

QC 20220314

Available from: 2022-01-10 Created: 2022-01-10 Last updated: 2024-03-15Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full textScopushttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/1/293

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Chamorro Vera, Harold R.

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