kth.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
A combined fuzzy gmdh neural network and grey wolf optimization application for wind turbine power production forecasting considering scada data
Show others and affiliations
2021 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 14, no 12, article id 3459Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A cost-effective and efficient wind energy production trend leads to larger wind turbine generators and drive for more advanced forecast models to increase their accuracy. This paper proposes a combined forecasting model that consists of empirical mode decomposition, fuzzy group method of data handling neural network, and grey wolf optimization algorithm. A combined K-means and identifying density-based local outliers is applied to detect and clean the outliers of the raw supervisory control and data acquisition data in the proposed forecasting model. Moreover, the empirical mode decomposition is employed to decompose signals and pre-processing data. The fuzzy GMDH neural network is a forecaster engine to estimate the future amount of wind turbines energy production, where the grey wolf optimization is used to optimize the fuzzy GMDH neural network parameters in order to achieve a lower forecasting error. Moreover, the model has been applied using actual data from a pilot onshore wind farm in Sweden. The obtained results indicate that the proposed model has a higher accuracy than others in the literature and provides single and combined forecasting models in different time-steps ahead and seasons.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG , 2021. Vol. 14, no 12, article id 3459
Keywords [en]
Fuzzy GMDH neural network, Grey wolf optimization, Power system, SCADA data, Wind power production, Cost effectiveness, Data acquisition, Data handling, Digital storage, Forecasting, Fuzzy inference, Fuzzy logic, Fuzzy sets, Onshore wind farms, Signal processing, Statistics, Wind turbines, Combined forecasting, Different time steps, Empirical Mode Decomposition, Forecasting modeling, GMDH neural network, Optimization algorithms, Supervisory control and data acquisition, Wind energy production, Fuzzy neural networks
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-309941DOI: 10.3390/en14123459ISI: 000666210700001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85108362504OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-309941DiVA, id: diva2:1645912
Note

QC 20220321

Available from: 2022-03-21 Created: 2022-03-21 Last updated: 2023-08-28Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Bertling, Lina

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Bertling, Lina
By organisation
Electric Power and Energy Systems
In the same journal
Energies
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 100 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf