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A general model, estimation, and procedure for modeling recurrent failure process of high-voltage circuit breakers considering multivariate impacts
Jilin Univ, Sch Mech & Aerosp Engn, Key Lab CNC Equipment Reliabil, Minist Educ, Changchun 130025, Peoples R China..
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electromagnetic Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2462-8340
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electromagnetic Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2964-7233
Jilin Univ, Sch Mech & Aerosp Engn, Key Lab CNC Equipment Reliabil, Minist Educ, Changchun 130025, Peoples R China..
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2022 (English)In: Reliability Engineering & System Safety, ISSN 0951-8320, E-ISSN 1879-0836, Vol. 220, article id 108276Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The high-voltage circuit breaker (HV CB) constitutes an important repairable asset in power systems. Due to its great number in the power network and strategic role in the successful operation of power systems, it is important to ensure its reliability. This paper deals with the estimation of the failure process of CBs considering the impact of age, operation intensity, corrective maintenance, and examination. A general model that integrates the above factors' effects is proposed, which can be reduced to many specific models like virtual age models, scale models, the two combinations, and their regression analysis. The model estimation under the condition of random censoring population data is illustrated, including parameters, reliability indicators, the cumulative intensity function, and goodness-of-fit tests. Moreover, a general procedure to stepwise select valuable effect functions into the general model is presented, thereby obtaining a specific formulation fitting the given data. The above works are applied to a real case to discuss the most probable failure process of the given HV CBs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2022. Vol. 220, article id 108276
Keywords [en]
Failure process model, High-voltage circuit breaker, Virtual age model, Scale model, Regression analysis
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-310202DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108276ISI: 000760343700013Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85121963545OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-310202DiVA, id: diva2:1648548
Note

QC 20220331

Available from: 2022-03-31 Created: 2022-03-31 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

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Westerlund, PerHilber, Patrik

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