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A Networked Competitive Multi-Virus SIR Model: Analysis and Observability
Purdue Univ, Elmore Family Sch Elect & Comp Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA..
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2136-3957
Univ Illinois, Coordinated Sci Lab, Champaign, IL USA..
Purdue Univ, Elmore Family Sch Elect & Comp Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA..
2022 (English)In: IFAC Papersonline, Elsevier BV , 2022, Vol. 55, no 13, p. 13-18Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model that captures the spread of competing SIR epidemics over a population network. First, we provide a sufficient condition for the infection level of all the viruses over the networked model to converge to zero in exponential time. Second, we propose an observation model which captures the summation of all the viruses' infection levels in each node, which represents the individuals who are infected by different viruses but share similar symptoms. We present a sufficient condition for the model to be locally observable. We propose a Luenberger observer for the system state estimation and show via simulations that the estimation error of the Luenberger observer converges to zero before the viruses die out. Copyright

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2022. Vol. 55, no 13, p. 13-18
Keywords [en]
Biological networks and epidemics dynamics
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-319466DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.07.228ISI: 000852734000003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85135449442OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-319466DiVA, id: diva2:1700253
Conference
9th IFAC Conference on Networked Systems (NECSYS), July 05-07, 2022, Zurich, Switzerland
Note

QC 20220930

Available from: 2022-09-30 Created: 2022-09-30 Last updated: 2022-09-30Bibliographically approved

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Gracy, Sebin

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
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Output format
  • html
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  • asciidoc
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