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SARS-CoV-2 phase I transmission and mutability linked to the interplay of climatic variables: a global observation on the pandemic spread
Water Research Centre, Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research, Safat, P.O. Box 24885, Kuwait City, 13109, Kuwait; Department of Earth Sciences, Annamalai University, Annamalai Nagar, Tamilnadu, Chidambaram, India.
Department of Applied Geology, Faculty of Engineering and Science, Curtin University, Malaysia, CDT 250, Sarawak, Miri, 98009, Malaysia.
Department of Disaster Management, Alagappa University, Tamil Nadu, Karikudi, 630003, India.
Department of Applied Geology, School of Applied Natural Science, Adama Science and Technology University, Adama, Ethiopia.
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2022 (English)In: Environmental Science and Pollution Research, ISSN 0944-1344, E-ISSN 1614-7499, Vol. 29, no 48, p. 72366-72383Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The study aims to determine the impact of global meteorological parameters on SARS-COV-2, including population density and initiation of lockdown in twelve different countries. The daily trend of these parameters and COVID-19 variables from February 15th to April 25th, 2020, were considered. Asian countries show an increasing trend between infection rate and population density. A direct relationship between the time-lapse of the first infected case and the period of suspension of movement controls the transmissivity of COVID-19 in Asian countries. The increase in temperature has led to an increase in COVID-19 spread, while the decrease in humidity is consistent with the trend in daily deaths during the peak of the pandemic in European countries. Countries with 65°F temperature and 5 mm rainfall have a negative impact on COVID-19 spread. Lower oxygen availability in the atmosphere, fine droplets of submicron size together with infectious aerosols, and low wind speed have contributed to the increase in total cases and mortality in Germany and France. The onset of the D614G mutation and subsequent changes to D614 before March, later G614 in mid-March, and S943P, A831V, D839/Y/N/E in April were observed in Asian and European countries. The results of the correlation and factor analysis show that the COVID-19 cases and the climatic factors are significantly correlated with each other. The optimum meteorological conditions for the prevalence of G614 were identified. It was observed that the complex interaction of global meteorological factors and changes in the mutational form of CoV-2 phase I influenced the daily mortality rate along with other comorbid factors. The results of this study could help the public and policymakers to create awareness of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2022. Vol. 29, no 48, p. 72366-72383
Keywords [en]
COVID-19, D614G mutation, Humidity, Mortality, Pandemic spread, Temperature
National Category
Medical and Health Sciences Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-319616DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-17481-8ISI: 000742329000002PubMedID: 35028838Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85123099523OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-319616DiVA, id: diva2:1701286
Note

QC 20221005

Available from: 2022-10-05 Created: 2022-10-05 Last updated: 2022-10-05Bibliographically approved

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Bhattacharya, Prosun

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