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Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Sustainability Assessment and Management.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8101-8928
2022 (English)In: Frontiers in Climate, ISSN 2624-9553, Vol. 4, article id 814052Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Concerns over climate change have led to the promotion of biofuels for transport, particularly biodiesel from oilseed crops and ethanol from sugar and starch crops. However, additional concerns arose on whether the climate change mitigation potential of biofuels is negated by the associated direct land requirements (dLUC) for growing biofuel feedstocks, or by the indirect land requirements (iLUC) that compensate for the diversion of food/feed crops into biofuels, both cases leading to greenhouse gas emissions. We investigated data over the last 20-year period to estimate the magnitude of the effects ethanol production in the USA has had on land use domestically and abroad. The data analyzed suggests that, over the period, the use of corn for ethanol increased by 118 Mt per year, most of it coming from displacement of other uses of corn, mainly feed, which were compensated by increased feed production elsewhere. Results suggest a relatively low dLUC but a significant iLUC effect, mainly due to the compensation for the foregone feed production as a result of diverting corn into ethanol production. The resulting 18.0 Mt CO2-eq. associated with meeting the renewable-energy target of 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol more than negates the climate benefits from avoided use of gasoline, indicating that promoting corn ethanol for global climate change mitigation may be counter-productive as, despite decreasing domestic emissions, global emissions increase. We suggest that the policy be revised accordingly. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Frontiers Media SA , 2022. Vol. 4, article id 814052
Keywords [en]
carbon footprint, climate change mitigation, corn ethanol, indirect land use change (iLUC), life cycle assessment
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-322577DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.814052ISI: 001021819500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85127507688OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-322577DiVA, id: diva2:1721725
Note

Correction in: Frontiers in Climate, vol. 4. DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.958621, ScopusID: 2-s2.0-85134616129

QC 20221222

Available from: 2022-12-22 Created: 2022-12-22 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Brandao, Miguel

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