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The Industrial TransformationTowards the Circular Economy: Dynamics, Drivers and Constraints
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM). Politecnico di Milano, Department of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering.. (Industrial Economics and Management (Dept.), Sustainability, Industrial Dynamics and Entrepreneurship)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8960-2045
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The notion of the circular economy has recently been posited as a vital strategy to mitigate climate change. At the industrial level, the circular economy envisions socio-industrial transformation to closed-loop material systems. Presently, however, discussions of the circular economy do not include an evolutionary view of how industrial transformations may give rise to the changes in institutions and industries, as well as technological innovation. In particular, the existing assumptions in the literature have lacked an understanding of the industrial transformation mechanisms at the value chain and supply chain levels. Moreover, the interplay between actors’ transition strategies and the circularity of material and economic value have mostly been overlooked in static analyses. To that end, I aim to achieve the following objectives in this thesis: (1) framing the transformation forces and opportunities that drive the industrial transition towards a circular economy; (2) providing an understanding of the challenges in managing the transformation mechanisms towards the circular economy and how they influence supply-chain-related decisions; and (3) examining the dynamics of the material and financial flows within evolving supply chain systems enabling or constraining the circular economy strategy of incumbents.

Using a mixed-method research approach, in this thesis I expand the boundaries of the theoretical foundation of the circular economy by putting an evolutionary perspective at the center of the transition for both the ecological and industrial sides. The findings indicate that actors adopt different strategies to overcome the transition tensions and capture opportunities based on their perceptions of short- and long-term disruption impacts on their businesses. In addition, actors’ value chain positions influence the implications of transition tensions on their businesses and the complementarities required to overcome them (such as technologies, operational skills and business relationships). This means that actors experience different behavioral and transition dilemmas along the upstream and downstream of the value chain. Above all, the evolving external business environment plays a vital role in actors’ ability to adapt to structural changes and capture business opportunities. When firms adopt circular economy principles at the supply chain level, they constantly revise their assumptions about their financial performance and the possibility of reusing products based on the strategic decisions of other supply chain members. Thus, the circularity of material and financial flows reaches beyond the boundaries of individual firms, and the outcomes of interactions between actors’ circular economy strategies may not necessarily enhance and sustain the circularity of material and economic performance for all actors along the supply chain.

This thesis contributes to the theoretical foundation of the circular economy by conceptually framing the industrial transformation towards a circular economy from a systemic and evolutionary perspective. Consequently, it contributes to the current circular economy discourse by expanding the ecological view to an evolutionary view of industrial transformation. Moreover, this study sheds light on the fact that the transformation to the circular economy at the supply chain level comes with dynamic changes in actor positions and roles over time. Transition at the supply chain level is more than just a static view of the optimization of material flows. The research provides implications for policymakers considering the impacts of the upcoming industrial transition to the circular economy at the sociotechnical system level, which requires dynamic business positioning by industrial actors. The results may serve to help actors understand that the interrelationships, misalignments and interplay of their strategies towards the circular economy reach beyond the linear approach of managing customer and supplier relationships.

Abstract [sv]

Den cirkulära ekonomin har nyligen lanserats som en nyckelstrategi för att begränsa klimatförändringar. Begreppet innebär en socio-industriell omvandling till slutna kretslopp för material. För närvarande saknar dock diskussionerna om den cirkulära ekonomin en evolutionär syn på hur industriella omvandlingar kan ge upphov till utveckling av institutioner, industrier och tekniska innovationer. I synnerhet förbiser den akademiska litteraturen att förståelse skapas för industriella omvandlingsmekanismer genom att värde- och försörjningskedjor tillämpas som analysnivå. Vidare har forskningen fastnat i en statisk analys av samspelet mellan aktörers omställningsstrategier samt av materiella och finansiella flödens cirkularitet. Baserat på detta syftar denna doktorsavhandling till att uppnå följande mål: 1) Att rama in de drivkrafter och möjligheter som driver på den industriella omställningen till en cirkulär ekonomi; 2) Att skapa förståelse för utmaningar med att hantera mekanismer i omställningen till en cirkulär ekonomi och för hur dessa utmaningar påverkar beslut som relaterar till försörjningskedjan; 3) Att undersöka dynamiken i materiella och finansiella flöden inom försörjningskedjor under utveckling samt vad som möjliggör eller begränsar etablerade företags cirkulära strategier.

Genom en forskningsmetod som blandar kvalitativ och kvantitativ metod utvidgar denna avhandling gränserna för den teoretiska grunden till den cirkulära ekonomin. Detta görs genom att placera ett evolutionärt perspektiv i centrum för omställningen till en cirkulär ekonomi. Resultaten indikerar att aktörer antar olika strategier för att övervinna slitningar under omställningen liksom för att ta vara på möjligheter som omställningen skapar. Dessa strategiska val baseras på aktörernas uppfattning om hur störningar kommer att påverka deras verksamheter på kort och lång sikt. Vidare påverkar aktörernas position i värdekedjan vilka konsekvenser slitningar under omställningen får för deras verksamheter, samt vilka komplement som krävs för att övervinna dessa slitningar (såsom teknologiska, operativa och relationella komplement). Detta innebär att aktörer beter sig olika under omställningen beroende på om de befinner sig uppströms eller nedströms i värdekedjan. Vidare spelar det föränderliga affärslandskapet en avgörande roll för aktörernas förmåga att anpassa sig till strukturella förändringar och att ta vara på möjligheter som omställningen skapar. När aktörer antar cirkulära principer inom försörjningskedjan tvingas de ständigt ändra sina antaganden om finansiella resultat och möjligheterna att återanvända produkter, utifrån strategiska beslut av andra aktörer i försörjningskedjan. Således ligger cirkulariteten hos materiella och finansiella flöden utanför det enskilda företagets gränser. Därmed leder samverkan kring aktörers cirkulära strategier inte nödvändigtvis till att materiella och finansiella flödens cirkularitet förbättras eller upprätthålls för alla aktörer i försörjningskedjan.

Denna avhandling bidrar till den teoretiska grunden för den cirkulära ekonomin genom att konceptuellt rama in den industriella omvandlingen till en cirkulär ekonomi ur ett systemiskt och evolutionärt perspektiv. Följaktligen bidrar avhandlingen till den pågående diskussionen om den cirkulära ekonomin genom att bredda den ekologiska synen med en evolutionär syn på industriell omvandling. Dessutom belyser avhandlingen att omställningen till en cirkulär ekonomi innebär dynamiska försörjningskedjor med föränderliga aktörspositioner och -roller över tid. Omställningen innebär mer än bara en statisk bild av hur materialflödena kan optimeras inom försörjningskedjan. Vidare har denna forskning implikationer för beslutsfattare, som bör överväga effekterna av den kommande industriella omställningen till cirkulär ekonomi på socio-teknisk systemnivå. Dessutom hjälper resultaten management att förstå att samband, missanpassningar och samspel mellan cirkulära strategier skiljer sig avsevärt från motsvarande linjära strategier för att hantera kund- och leverantörsrelationer.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 2023. , p. 287
Series
TRITA-ITM-AVL ; 2023:1
Keywords [en]
Circular economy, industrial dynamics, evolutionary theory, closed loop supply, industry value chain
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Industrial Economics and Management
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-323325ISBN: 978-91-8040-470-9 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-323325DiVA, id: diva2:1730825
Public defence
2023-02-20, F3 / https://kth-se.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_0Ia41-USQJSeX8nZGwlAgg, Lindstedtsvägen 26, Stockholm, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

This research was jointly conducted in Politecnico di Milano and KTH Royal Institute of Technology.

Available from: 2023-01-27 Created: 2023-01-25 Last updated: 2023-02-16Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. The transformation to a circular economy: framing an evolutionary view
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The transformation to a circular economy: framing an evolutionary view
2021 (English)In: Journal of evolutionary economics, ISSN 0936-9937, E-ISSN 1432-1386, Vol. 31, no 2, p. 475-504Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [sv]

The notion of the circular economy (CE) has recently been put forth as a strategy to mitigate climate change. It has gained attention in policy circles and in the engineering and natural science literature. In contrast to the linear model of production, use and disposal, the point of departure for the CE is the creation and sustention of a regenerative system with the goal of minimising resource inputs and emissions. However, although the emerging literature has discussed the ongoing transition process towards the CE, mainly from an ecological perspective, the underlying mechanisms of industrial change including structural tensions have not been discussed. Responding to this gap in the literature, the aim of this paper is to discuss CE as an evolutionary process and to propose a conceptual framework that builds on a development block approach.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2021
Keywords
Circular economy, Industrial transformation, Evolutionary economics, Structural tensions, Development block, Complementarities
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-285853 (URN)10.1007/s00191-020-00709-0 (DOI)000585807600001 ()2-s2.0-85094655933 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20210609

Available from: 2020-11-10 Created: 2020-11-10 Last updated: 2023-10-16Bibliographically approved
2. Managing Structural Tensions in the Transition to the Circular Economy: the Case of Electric Vehicle Batteries
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Managing Structural Tensions in the Transition to the Circular Economy: the Case of Electric Vehicle Batteries
2022 (English)In: Circular Economy and Sustainability, ISSN 2730-597X, E-ISSN 2730-5988Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The circular economy (CE) has recently gained attention as a key transformative strategy. However, as with previous transformation processes, the transition towards the CE is not a smooth process since there are underlying structural tensions in incumbent systems that need to be overcome. One industry that is currently undergoing transformative pressure is the automobile industry where the transition to electric vehicles that use lithium-ion bat- teries is creating structural tensions. In this paper, we adopt a multi-actor perspective and analyze the strategies that different actors pursue to manage the structural tensions that are induced by the transition towards lithium-ion batteries with the goal of creating and sus- taining a closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) model. Through a case study of the key actors (mining firms, material manufacturers, vehicle manufacturers, and recyclers), we reveal the particularities of managing structural tensions which are influenced by temporal, spatial, and contextual factors. We demonstrate our claim by first expanding the application bound- ary of the concept of structural tensions to show the interconnection between strategic choices made by actors at operational and technological levels; and second, unfolding the dynamics of managing structural tensions in the CE transitions from a multi-actor perspec- tive. The results of this study may support industrial actors to achieve a better understand- ing of the consequences of their short- and long-term CE transition strategies, and resolve conflicts in visions and priorities during the transition process.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2022
Keywords
Structural tensions · Industrial transition · Circular economy · Closed-loop supply chain · Lithium-ion batteries
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-309329 (URN)10.1007/s43615-022-00152-2 (DOI)2-s2.0-85133661580 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20220228

Available from: 2022-02-27 Created: 2022-02-27 Last updated: 2024-08-28Bibliographically approved
3. The Value Chain Dilemma of Navigating Sustainability Transitions: A Case Study of an Upstream Incumbent Company
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Value Chain Dilemma of Navigating Sustainability Transitions: A Case Study of an Upstream Incumbent Company
2022 (English)In: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, ISSN 2210-4224, E-ISSN 2210-4232, SSRN Electronic Journal, E-ISSN 1556-5068, Vol. 45, p. 114-131Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

An increasing body of literature on sustainability transitions addresses the business strategies of incumbents but overlooks upstream companies. By addressing this gap, we aim to explore how upstream incumbents navigate sustainability transitions. Theoretically, we introduce an industry value chain perspective, integrating the concepts of center of gravity, patterns of strategic change and organizational adaptation. Empirically, we conduct an in-depth case study of how an up- stream incumbent firm navigates the established value chain for lead-acid batteries and the emerging value chain for lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles. The company faces a dilemma as to whether and how to maintain a vertically integrated position in the established value chain, and how and when to expand into the emerging value chain. We argue and demonstrate that for upstream companies, navigating sustainability transitions is highly dependent on the anticipation of and adaptation to the complex changes in industry value chains.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2022
Keywords
Transition, Incumbent strategies, Industry value chain, Organizational adaptation, Center of gravity, Upstream
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-323243 (URN)10.1016/j.eist.2022.10.002 (DOI)000888052400001 ()2-s2.0-85139880247 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20230124

Available from: 2023-01-23 Created: 2023-01-23 Last updated: 2023-01-25Bibliographically approved
4. Strategic Closed-Loop Supply Chain Configuration in the Transition Towards the Circular Economy of E-vehicles: An Evolutionary Analytical Framework
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Strategic Closed-Loop Supply Chain Configuration in the Transition Towards the Circular Economy of E-vehicles: An Evolutionary Analytical Framework
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This study advocates the importance of taking an evolutionary perspective in the strategic development of Closed-Loop Supply Chains (CLSC) in the transition to a circular economy. Building on the supply chain management and industrial dynamics knowledge domains, an evolutionary analytical framework was developed and applied in the empirical context of the ongoing industrial transition to e-mobility. This study is designed as an in-depth exploratory case study to capture the multi-layer dynamic complexities and their interplay in CSLC development. The empirical investigation was based on two-year interactions between the authors and various departments in a leading European EV manufacturer. The proposed evolutionary analytical framework was used for investigating the dynamics of four CLSC configurations through ten possible pathways. The findings demonstrate that the evolution of each CLSC configuration comes with multiple challenges and requirements and point out the necessity for the co-development of technologies, product design and production, and infrastructure through long-term relationships among key supply chain actors. However, this evolutionary journey is associated with multiple dilemmas caused by uncertainties in the market and technology developments. All these factors were properly captured and critically analyzed, along with their interactions, thanks to the constructs included in the proposed evolutionary analytical framework. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of the OEM only. Thus, the framework does not directly tackle the dynamics and effects of other supply chain actors´ actions. The results are context specific (e.g., types of CLSC configurations and pathways). The developed framework can support SC managers in identifying, framing, and comparing alternative strategies for CLSC configuration in the transition process. The study brings together the dynamics of the external environment (technology and market development) and concepts of complementarities, path-dependencies, and lock-ins that together unfold the dynamics and evolutionary pathways that firms may take in their transition to CLSC.

Keywords
Circular Economy, closed-loop supply chain, technological transition, electric vehicle, lithium-ion battery
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-323244 (URN)
Note

QC 20230124

Available from: 2023-01-23 Created: 2023-01-23 Last updated: 2023-01-25Bibliographically approved
5. Exploring reverse supply chain configurations of high voltage li-ion batteries for heavy e-vehicles under different structural and operational conditions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Exploring reverse supply chain configurations of high voltage li-ion batteries for heavy e-vehicles under different structural and operational conditions
2020 (English)In: Proceedings of the Summer School Francesco Turco, AIDI - Italian Association of Industrial Operations Professors , 2020Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Electrification of transportation is widely recognized as an enabler of sustainable development thanks to its potential to mitigate current global warming crisis. So far, industry has been focusing on technology deployment and scaling up, paying limited attention to the end-of-life of new vehicles and their components. However, if this emerging technology is to be truly sustainable in the long range, proactive planning and development of product and material recovery solutions is crucial from many perspectives. Reverse supply chain design is subject to deep uncertainties and simulation has been already used in literature as a suitable tool for examining alternative configurations and the key drivers of optimal design. This study aims to investigate the implications of different structural (centralized vs decentralized) and operational (in-house and outsourcing) configurations of the reverse supply chain configuration of high voltage li-ion batteries for heavy e-vehicles. All the stages in the reverse supply chain, i.e. acquisition of returned batteries, inspection, reconditioning (remanufacturing or recycling), warehousing and transportation, repurposing for second-life applications are considered. A Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is finally proposed to support strategic and tactical decisions of an OEM (original equipment manufacturer) according to efficiency and circularity objectives. Results provide valuable ground for decision-making regarding the development of reverse supply chain systems of high voltage batteries and demonstrate that such systems can offer economic benefits for vehicle manufacturers.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
AIDI - Italian Association of Industrial Operations Professors, 2020
Keywords
Circular Economy, reverse supply chain, Electric vehicles, Lithium-ion batteries, Mixed integer linear programming
National Category
Materials Chemistry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-301007 (URN)2-s2.0-85108105672 (Scopus ID)
Conference
25th Summer School Francesco Turco, 2020, 9 September 2020 through 11 September 2020
Note

QC 20210903

Available from: 2021-09-03 Created: 2021-09-03 Last updated: 2023-01-25Bibliographically approved
6. Exploring business dynamics in emerging circular value chains: the case of end-of-life electric vehicles batteries
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Exploring business dynamics in emerging circular value chains: the case of end-of-life electric vehicles batteries
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This study explores the dynamics of competition among actors over unlocking business values of the end-of-life electric vehicle battery and its impacts on the successful implementation of circular economy principles. It examines a system dynamics model of the tragedy of commons known as commons dilemmas to present the result of actors’ competition. The system dynamics modelling technique is used to model the dynamics of competition among three actors, lithium-ion battery producer, EV manufacturer and lithium-ion battery recycler, over unlocking business values of end-of-life batteries. The causal loop diagrams are related to three main feedback loops. i) the dynamics of each actor’s business activities (including cost & benefit analysis), ii) their strategies related to EVB end-of-life management, iii) and the competition to keep the end-of-life batteries within their loop. The analysis of system dynamic causal loops indicates that there are different reinforcement loops of bounded rationalities and balancing loops of globally rationality of actors. For instance, competition over having access to EOL returned EVBs could delay and change the focus on specific EOL management over another.

Keywords
Circular economy, electric vehicle batteries, reverse logistics, system dynamics, tragedy of commons
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-323245 (URN)
Note

QC 20230124

Available from: 2023-01-23 Created: 2023-01-23 Last updated: 2023-01-25Bibliographically approved

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