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Modeling a Relationship between ESG Metrics and Financial Performance for Nordic Publicly-listed Companies
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.
2023 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Modellering av sambandet mellan ESG variabler och Finansiell Prestation för Börsnoterade Företag i Norden (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

This study aims to identify whether a relationship between ESG performance and financial performance exists for Nordic publicly-listed companies, by conducting a multiple linear regression analysis. Also, it will be observed which (if any) ESG variables are of relevance.

The regression analysis conducted in this study arrives at the conclusion that there is a relationship between ESG performance and financial performance. However, the models have low explanatory power, with Adjusted R^2 values of 0.36 for the accounting-based financial measure Return on Assets (ROA), and 0.30 for the market-based financial measure Tobin´s Q.In both the ROA and Tobin's Q model, social variables are the most significant. Supplier evaluation disclosure is the only variable that is highly significant and positively correlated to both ROA and Tobin's Q. Consistent with previous literature, our results show that female board participation is positively correlated with ROA. The results also show that ROA correlates negatively with compensation of board members and senior executives being linked to environmental and social factors. In conclusion, some variables were identified that are significant for financial performance. However, the overall explanatory power of the model is low. It is suggested that future studies adopt a materiality approach.

Abstract [sv]

Denna studie syftar till att identifiera om det finns ett samband mellan ESG-prestanda och finansiell prestanda för nordiska börsnoterade företag genom att utföra en multipel linjär regression. Dessutom observeras vilka (ifall några alls) ESG-variabler som är relevanta.

Regressionen som genomförts i denna studie drar slutsatsen att det finns en relation mellan ESG-prestanda och finansiell prestanda. Dock så har modellerna låg förklaringsgrad, med justerat R^2-värde på 0,36 för det redovisningsbaserade måttet "Return on Assets" (ROA) och 0,30 för det marknadsbaserade måttet "Tobin's Q". I både ROA- och Tobin's Q-modellerna är sociala variabler de mest signifikanta. Publicering av leverantörsutvärdering är den enda variabeln som är högt signifikant och positivt korrelerad med både ROA och Tobin's Q. I linje med tidigare litteratur visar våra resultat att andel kvinnor i styrelsen är positivt korrelerat med ROA. Resultaten visar också att ROA korrelerar negativt med kompensation av styrelseledamöter kopplat till miljö- och sociala faktorer. Allt som allt lyckades studien att identifiera vissa ESG variabler som är signifikanta för finansiell prestanda. Dock så förblir förklaringsgraden av modellen i sin helhet låg. Därför föreslås det att framtida studier lägger fokus på materialitet.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023.
Series
TRITA-SCI-GRU ; 2023:234
Keywords [en]
Sustainable finance, ESG variables, ESG score, Accounting-based financial performance, Market-based financial performance, Nordic Compass, Materiality
Keywords [sv]
Hållbar finansiering, ESG variabler, ESG värde, Redovisningsbaserad finansiell prestation, Marknadsbaserad finansiell prestation, Nordic Compass, Materialitet
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-342317OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-342317DiVA, id: diva2:1827787
Subject / course
Applied Mathematics and Industrial Economics
Educational program
Master of Science in Engineering - Industrial Engineering and Management
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2024-01-15 Created: 2024-01-15 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved

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