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CROSS-SECTIONAL AND TIME SERIES MOMENTUM RETURNS EVIDENCE FROM THE SWEDISH STOCK MARKET
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematical Statistics.
2023 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
TVÄRSNITT- OCH TIDSSERIEMOMENTUMEFFEKTEN PÅ DEN SVENSKA AKTIEMARKNADEN (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

The study investigates the presence of the momentum effect in the Swedish stock market by utilizing both cross-sectional introduced by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) and time-series momentum introduced by Moskowtozt et al. (2011). The period of analysis is between 1998 to 2022. Additionally, the study compares the performance of these two momentum strategies by creating portfolios with varying lookback and holding periods. However, the primary focus is on the strategy with a 12-month lookback and a 1-month holding period. The results indicate that both momentum strategies generated positive returns over the analyzed period. However, time-series momentum was more effective for longer lookback periods, while cross-sectional momentum was more effective for shorter periods. Nevertheless, none of the findings for either momentum strategy were statistically significant in the Swedish stock market.

Abstract [sv]

Syftet med denna studie är att studera lönsamheten för momentumstrategier på den svenska marknaden för perioden januari 1998 till december 2022, med hjälp av de cross-sectional och time-series momentum som introducerades av Jegadeesh och Titman (1993) och Moskowitz et al. 2011), respektive. Resultaten visar att momentumstrategier har positiv avkastning på den svenska marknaden, men resultaten är inte statistiskt signifikanta. Under den tidsperiod under vilken momentumstrategier testades visade cross-sectional momentum bättre resultat under kortare utvärderingsperioder jämfört med time-series momentum, som presterade bättre under längre utvärderingsperioder. Det är dock värt att notera att även om momentumportföljers positiva avkastning inte är statistiskt signifikanta, kan de fortfarande vara fördelaktiga för avkastningssökande investerare. Dessutom fann studien att den positiva avkastningen inte enbart beror på momentumfaktorn utan kan också bero på portföljens exponering mot Fama French SMB-faktorn.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023.
Series
TRITA-SCI-GRU ; 2023:239
Keywords [en]
cross-sectional momentum, time-series momentum, market efficiency, random walk, ex-ante volatility
Keywords [sv]
cross-sectional momentum, time-series momentum, marknadseffektivitet, random walk, ex-ante volatilitet
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-342322OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-342322DiVA, id: diva2:1827867
Subject / course
Applied Mathematics and Industrial Economics
Educational program
Master of Science in Engineering - Industrial Engineering and Management
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Examiners
Available from: 2024-01-15 Created: 2024-01-15 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
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Output format
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