Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenariosPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands.
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
RFF‐CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE), Centro Euro‐Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy.
RFF‐CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE), Centro Euro‐Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy.
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece.
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece.
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece.
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece.
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Faculty of Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; SAIS Europe, Johns Hopkins University, Bologna, Italy.
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
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2023 (English)In: Nature Energy, E-ISSN 2058-7546, Vol. 8, no 12, p. 1395-1404Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Energy models are used to study emissions mitigation pathways, such as those compatible with the Paris Agreement goals. These models vary in structure, objectives, parameterization and level of detail, yielding differences in the computed energy and climate policy scenarios. To study model differences, diagnostic indicators are common practice in many academic fields, for example, in the physical climate sciences. However, they have not yet been applied systematically in mitigation literature, beyond addressing individual model dimensions. Here we address this gap by quantifying energy model typology along five dimensions: responsiveness, mitigation strategies, energy supply, energy demand and mitigation costs and effort, each expressed through several diagnostic indicators. The framework is applied to a diagnostic experiment with eight energy models in which we explore ten scenarios focusing on Europe. Comparing indicators to the ensemble yields comprehensive ‘energy model fingerprints’, which describe systematic model behaviour and contextualize model differences for future multi-model comparison studies.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2023. Vol. 8, no 12, p. 1395-1404
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-348434DOI: 10.1038/s41560-023-01399-1ISI: 001099027300002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85175806970OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-348434DiVA, id: diva2:1877380
Note
QC 20240625
2024-06-252024-06-252024-06-25Bibliographically approved