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A Machine Learning Model Predicting Errors in Simplified Continental Ice Sheet Simulations
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI).
2024 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Continental ice sheet simulations are commonly based on either the Full Stokes (FS) model, or its simplification, the Shallow Ice Approximation (SIA) model. This thesis examines a machine learning error estimation approach for assessing the accuracy of the solutions to the SIA model, where the reference (exact) solution is that of the Stokes model. We use Gaussian Process (GP) regression through existing GP libraries in Python to model and train a machine learning model. For computational efficiency reasons we use Variational Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Processes (VNNGP), where the input data are the SIA solution and the ice sheet geometry characteristics. The output data is the error between the SIA solution and the FS solution. We find that these models trained on various ice sheet geometries are able to make rough predictions for other simple geometries not trained for; however we observe a poor fit for the much more complex Greenland geometry, which suggests further work to be done, utilizing more diverse geometries for training.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024.
Series
TRITA-SCI-GRU ; 2024:161
Keywords [en]
Machine learning, Gaussian process regression, Finite element method, Ice sheet modeling, Model coupling
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-349257OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-349257DiVA, id: diva2:1880221
Educational program
Master of Science in Engineering -Engineering Physics
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2024-07-01 Created: 2024-07-01 Last updated: 2024-07-01Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf