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Long-Run Effects of Short-Run Climate Shocks: The 2011 Thailand Flood
Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Industrial Economics and Management (Dept.). Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4199-2400
2024 (English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

We study how the catastrophic 2011 Thailand flood affected Swedish firms that imported from Thailand, and find large and persistent long-run effects. Thai imports fell by 83 percent in the year following the flood, and the fall continued through to 2019 despite the relatively rapid recovery of Thai production. Thus, Swedish firms permanently switched suppliers. We also find evidence of re-shoring, but the dominant long-run effect is as switch to producers in other Asian countries.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024.
Keywords [en]
Climate shocks, Global value chains, extreme weather
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-362654DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4877696OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-362654DiVA, id: diva2:1954739
Note

QC 20250428

Available from: 2025-04-26 Created: 2025-04-26 Last updated: 2025-04-28Bibliographically approved

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Sanctuary, Mark

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
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  • asciidoc
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