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Deep learning-based spatial optimization of green and cool roof implementation for urban heat mitigation
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States.
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2025 (English)In: Journal of Environmental Management, ISSN 0301-4797, E-ISSN 1095-8630, Vol. 383, article id 125398Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Intensifying urban heat extremes require efficient mitigation strategies; therefore, we propose a methodological framework for optimizing the implementation of urban green and cool roofs to reduce heat stress while maximizing their cost-effectiveness. In particular, we develop a surrogate model based on the deep learning algorithm Multi-ResNet, which is trained on data generated by the physically-based Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with an urban canopy model (WRF-UCM). We applied this framework to the Greater Seoul region under the SSP585 climate scenario for 2090–2099 with projected 2100 land cover and evaluated 262,144 scenarios for cool and green roof allocation across 379 urban grids. Our results showed that, at the current cost of green roofs, the Pareto optimal scenario involves implementing cool roofs over 89.2 % of urban areas. This scenario would reduce the total effective heat stress index by 8.8 % compared to the business-as-usual scenario while decreasing costs by 19.6 %. We identified an optimal cost range of 117.4–146.1 $/m over 40 years for green roofs to become cost-effective and more widely adopted. Our approach demonstrates the potential of deep learning techniques to provide efficient quantitative assessments with lower computational demands (from 3561 h with the WRF-UCM to 72 h), potentially supporting climate-resilient urban building planning.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 383, article id 125398
Keywords [en]
Climate change adaptation, Cool and green roof, Cost-effectiveness, Deep learning-based surrogate model, Heat stress index, Pareto optimization, Urban heat mitigation
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-363108DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125398PubMedID: 40273786Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105003122573OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-363108DiVA, id: diva2:1956357
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QC 20250507

Available from: 2025-05-06 Created: 2025-05-06 Last updated: 2025-05-07Bibliographically approved

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