Energy policy on shaky ground?: A study of CCS-scenarios
2009 (English)In: Energy Procedia, ISSN 1876-6102, no 1, 4673-4680 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Scenarios play an important role for the societal acceptance of CCS. This paper looks into influential reports containing CCS scenarios and analyses results, key assumptions and drivers for CCS' deployment. Significant uncertainties regarding CCS' development were in several cases excluded or marginalized. Despite these shortcomings, scenarios support a massive deployment of CCS and reflect an undivided optimism. If CCS would fail to meet the high expectations a backlash could follow. Indications were found that new scenarios including uncertainties are needed to balance this over-optimism. So-called unpleasant scenarios are often valuable in helping decision makers develop flexible strategies and policies.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2009. no 1, 4673-4680 p.
CCS; economic modelling; scenario studies; policy making; uncertainties
Chemical Process Engineering Energy Engineering
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-10981DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2009.02.290ISI: 000276074404088ScopusID: 2-s2.0-67650112115OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-10981DiVA: diva2:233608
QC 201007272009-09-012009-09-012010-12-03Bibliographically approved