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Past Probabilities
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Philosophy.
2010 (English)In: Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, ISSN 0029-4527, Vol. 51, no 2, 207-223 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The probability that a fair coin tossed yesterday landed heads is either 0 or 1, but the probability that it would land heads was 0.5. In order to account for the latter type of probabilities, past probabilities, a temporal restriction operator is introduced and axiomatically characterized. It is used to construct a representation of conditional past probabilities. The logic of past probabilities turns out to be strictly weaker than the logic of standard probabilities.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2010. Vol. 51, no 2, 207-223 p.
Keyword [en]
past probability, objective probability, temporal restriction, propensity, chance
National Category
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-27292DOI: 10.1215/00294527-2010-013ISI: 000278983500004OAI: diva2:376922
QC 20101213Available from: 2010-12-13 Created: 2010-12-09 Last updated: 2010-12-13Bibliographically approved

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Hansson, Sven Ove
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ReferencesLink to record
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