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Past Probabilities
Philosophy and History, KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Philosophy and History of Technology, Philosophy.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0071-3919
2010 (English)In: Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, ISSN 0029-4527, E-ISSN 1939-0726, Vol. 51, no 2, 207-223 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The probability that a fair coin tossed yesterday landed heads is either 0 or 1, but the probability that it would land heads was 0.5. In order to account for the latter type of probabilities, past probabilities, a temporal restriction operator is introduced and axiomatically characterized. It is used to construct a representation of conditional past probabilities. The logic of past probabilities turns out to be strictly weaker than the logic of standard probabilities.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Duke University Press, 2010. Vol. 51, no 2, 207-223 p.
Keyword [en]
past probability, objective probability, temporal restriction, propensity, chance
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-27292DOI: 10.1215/00294527-2010-013ISI: 000278983500004Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85035252035OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-27292DiVA: diva2:376922
Note

QC 20101213

Available from: 2010-12-13 Created: 2010-12-09 Last updated: 2017-12-13Bibliographically approved

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