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Towards building an uncertainty-aware personal journey planner
IBM Dublin Research Laboratory, Ireland.
2011 (English)In: 14th IEEE International Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, ITSC 2011, 2011, 378-383 p.Conference paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Public transit, specially the bus, are usually considered unreliable as arrival times do not often match with the scheduled times. Current journey planners do not take this uncertainty into account, for example do not account for the risk of missing a transfer and of delays due to traffic conditions. This paper deals with analytics for building a multi modal journey planner, by estimating arrival and travel times for a certain trip involving transfers, and taking into account the delay of buses and risk of missing connections. We develop a system to compute probability distributions of end-to-end travel times, taking into account uncertain departure, travel and transfer times. We tested the system using real historical data for the whole bus system in Dublin, and showed the uncertainty of scheduled travel times with respect to the stochasticity of real traffic conditions. This is a first step towards building an uncertainty-aware multi-modal journey planner.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. 378-383 p.
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-76791DOI: 10.1109/ITSC.2011.6082962ScopusID: 2-s2.0-83755194838ISBN: 978-145772198-4OAI: diva2:491163
14th IEEE International Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, ITSC 2011. Washington, DC. 5 October 2011 - 7 October 2011
TrenOp, Transport Research Environment with Novel Perspectives
TSC import 900 2012-02-06. QC 20120208Available from: 2012-02-06 Created: 2012-02-06 Last updated: 2012-06-11Bibliographically approved

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Trigueiro Baptista, Arthur
Transport Systems and Logistics

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