FINDING IMPORTANT FACTORS IN AN EFFECTS-BASED PLAN USING SEQUENTIAL BIFURCATION
Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
After the pilot phase of a simulation study, if the model contains many factors, then direct experimentation may need too much computer processing time, therefore the purpose of screening simulation experiments is to eliminate negligible or unimportant factors of a simulation model in order to concentrate the efforts upon a short list of important factors. For this matter the Sequential bifurcation procedure developed by Bettonvil and Kleijnen  is an efficient and effective screening method which can be used. In this study, the Sequential bifurcation screening method is used to determine the important factors of a simulation based decision support model designed by The Swedish Defense Research Agency (FOI) meant for testing operational plans. By using this simulation model, a decision maker is able to test a number of feasible plans against possible courses of events. The sequential bifurcation procedure was applied and sorted the most important factors involved in this simulation model based on their relative importance.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. , 59 p.
Simulation, Screening, Sequential Bifurcation, Design of experiments.
Engineering and Technology
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-101212OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-101212DiVA: diva2:546781
Ayani, Rassul, Professor