Change search
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Real-Time Bus Arrival Information System: An Empirical Evaluation
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Transport Science, Transport and Location Analysis. KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Centres, Centre for Transport Studies, CTS.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4506-0459
2013 (English)In: IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems: Proceedings ITSC, IEEE conference proceedings, 2013, 1310-1315 p.Conference paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Waiting time uncertainty is one of the main determinants of public transport reliability and overall level-of-service. The dissemination of real-time information concerning vehicle arrivals is often considered an important measure to reduce unreliability. Moreover, the prediction of downstream vehicle trajectories could also benefit real-time control strategies. In order to adequately analyze the performance of real-time bus arrival information system, the generated predictions have to be compared against empirical bus arrival data. A conventional real-world bus arrival prediction scheme is formulated and applied on the trunk lines network in Stockholm. This scheme was found to systematically underestimate the remaining waiting time by 6.2% on average. Prediction error accuracy and reliability varies considerably over time periods, along the route and as a function of the prognosis horizon. The difference between passengers' waiting time expectations derived from the timetable and real-time information is equivalent to 30% of the average waiting time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2013. 1310-1315 p.
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-138236DOI: 10.1109/ITSC.2013.6728412ISI: 000346481000210ScopusID: 2-s2.0-84894321712ISBN: 978-147992914-6OAI: diva2:680638
2013 16th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems: Intelligent Transportation Systems for All Modes, ITSC 2013; The Hague, Netherlands, 6-9 October, 2013

QC 20140319

TSC import 2316 2013-12-17

Available from: 2013-12-18 Created: 2013-12-18 Last updated: 2016-03-21Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Cats, OdedLoutos, Gerasimos
By organisation
Transport and Location AnalysisCentre for Transport Studies, CTSKTH
Transport Systems and Logistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

Altmetric score

Total: 73 hits
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link