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Supporting policy analysis in the Dutch rail sector using System Dynamics
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Transport Science, Traffic and Logistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1126-3781
2013 (English)In: Proceedings of the System Dynamics conference 2013, 2013Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

With a sizeable expected growth of demand for rail transport in the Netherlands in the coming decades, and limited resources for expansion of the rail network, intensified utilization of the infrastructure is to be expected. To adequately manage this growth, appropriate tools for policy analysis are needed. The possibilities and pitfalls of using System Dynamics for policy analysis in the Dutch rail system have been explored by performing a modelling study into the interrelations of modal split, mobility and operations using System Dynamics. Additional scrutiny is placed on the method, because of the unstructuredness of many problems in the rail sector, and decision-making in a network type environment. Results show that the reliability of infrastructure is a major component in the extent of delays. Furthermore, the effect of unreliability in a train trip and the characteristics of a car trip are important for the choice between train and car. Although classical policy analysis has proven to be possible, modelling the operational part of the system has proven challenging due to the spatial and discrete characteristics of parts of the system. Recommendations are given to improve the model and model use to better suit the unstructuredness of the problems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2013.
Keyword [en]
Rail System, Netherlands, Policy Analysis, System Dynamics
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-138266OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-138266DiVA: diva2:680667
Conference
System Dynamics Society
Note

TSC import 2495 2013-12-17. QC 20140320

Available from: 2013-12-18 Created: 2013-12-18 Last updated: 2014-03-20Bibliographically approved

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Meijer, Sebastiaan

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf