Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Prediction of Swedish Harness Racing.
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Aeronautical and Vehicle Engineering.
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Aeronautical and Vehicle Engineering.
2013 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Harness racing is a sport where betting most often is done based on historical performances and known conditions from each horse. With up to 12-15 horses in each race and with a quite large set of data for each horse, harness racing seemed to be very suitable for some statistical modeling and regression analysis. The main goal of this project was to construct a model that predicts the outcome of a race better than the odds. To achieve this, many dierent covariates, and combinations of them, have been tested. Also dierent types of regression methods, such as logistic regression have been tested in order to find the best model. A big challenge has been to collect a very large amount of useful data and handling it in an e-cient way. In the end several models had been developed whereof the best ones made better predictions than the odds. Also a few betting strategies have been developed in order to investigate the possibility of making money by using the models. At least one of them seem to provide a good return.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2013. , 99 p.
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-140703OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-140703DiVA: diva2:692295
Supervisors
Available from: 2014-01-30 Created: 2014-01-30 Last updated: 2017-08-08Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(562 kB)21 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT02.pdfFile size 562 kBChecksum SHA-512
923c7e5d51f4f91a7cdc3cf7580c36e130fa83c9bd6d72f36d5172ea951c2210d4c3bb57b13c3f0b207b8310521031b8af9fa9d32cd3d8c0d2e2d016a9cbe9f2
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

By organisation
Aeronautical and Vehicle Engineering
Engineering and Technology

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 123 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 481 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf