An evolutionary approach to time series forecasting with artificial neural networks
Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
In this paper an evolutionary approach to forecasting the stock market is tested and compared with backpropagation. An neuroevolutionary algorithm is implemented and backtested measuring returns and the normalized-mean-square-error for each algorithm on selected stocks from NASDAQ. The results are not entirely conclusive and further investigation would be needed to say definitely, but it seems as a neuroevolutionary approach could outperform backpropagation for time series prediction.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-168224OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-168224DiVA: diva2:815021