Subjective perception towards uncertainty on weather conditions and its impact on out-of-home leisure activity participation decisions
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Weather is fundamentally a ‘subjective’ perception rather than an objective measure that affects individual’s everyday travel decisions. This study uses data from a four-wave travel diary survey and aims to answer two research questions, i.e. 1. How individuals from different socio-demographic groups perceive weather. 2. How subjective weather perceptions affect individuals’ leisure activity participation decisions. Subjective weather perception and leisure activity participation are modelled in panel static/dynamic ordered Probit models. The results show that the reference thermal environment in general corresponds to the historical mean of the thermal environment. The effects of objective weather measures on subjective weather perception vary substantially between individuals. Moreover, the effect of subjective weather perception on leisure activity participation is non-linear and asymmetric. Only “very bad weather” and “very good weather” significantly influence the leisure activity participation. The effect of “very bad weather” also varies significantly between individuals. The intra-individual heterogeneity in the effect of “very good weather” has a smaller magnitude than that in the effect of “very bad weather”.
Subjective weather perception; Leisure activity participation; Intra-individual heterogeneity
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject Transport Science
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-187013OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-187013DiVA: diva2:928536
QC 201605172016-05-162016-05-162016-05-17Bibliographically approved