The Swedish Vattenfall group is a major power producer in Europe. The companygenerates its electricity mainly through nuclear and hydro power plants, withsupplementary production using wind power, natural gas, bio fuel, and coal fuel.It is expected that these supplements will get a more important role in the Swedishfuture concerning the planned closure of nuclear power.
All fuel chains for electricity generation contribute to certain environmentalimpacts. One of Vattenfall’s primary goals is to continuously develop andimprove the production process with the aim to reduce the negative effects on theenvironment. A very important part in the environmental work is to perform lifecycle analysis as well as environmental risk assessments.
This thesis is an environmental risk assessment on electricity generation fromcoal. The main objective is to identify and quantify potentially harmful releases,which may occur in relation to abnormal events in the electricity productionchain. These are accidents or unexpected events that are very rare and occur lessthan once a year. The chain roughly includes all activities regarding theproduction such as coal extraction, transports, operation and maintenance of thepower station, and landfill. However, the focus is on the power station. A powerplant in Poland is studied, which since the beginning of year 2000 is a part of theVattenfall group.
The report presents 1) plausible accidents that may cause releases that has thepotential to harm the environment, 2) the estimated size of the release and 3) howoften it might occur. The probability of the accidents is primary based onavailable statistics from companies, organisations and public authorities. Thereleases are estimations based on storage volumes. The quantitative environmentalrisk is here assessed by the probability of the accident and the released amount.
There are major data and information gaps concerning the coal production phase.This, together with the nature of the accidents that has been identified, contributesto that the environmental risk is not quantified for this part. However, accidentsand releases are comprehensively discussed. History indicates that seriousaccidents in mines can have severe consequences, especially concerning the safetyof workers. The environment can also be substantially damaged however probablynot so much related to harmful releases.
The result point out that the environmental risk connected to the power station isbigger relative the transport of materials. Furthermore, in comparison with the lifecycle analysis on electricity production using coal, the emission to air fromabnormal accidents is noticeable smaller during a long time period. On the otherhand, local releases to land seem to be bigger for abnormal accidents than fornormal operation. This may be due to that smaller releases is overlooked in thelife cycle analysis.
The result is connected with considerable uncertainties and there are a number offactors that contribute to this. The model may be wrong, scenarios may beoverlooked, and used values might be incorrect. It is therefore very important thatthe values are interpreted only as an indicator of the size of the release, and notexact.