The development of total freight transport performance is closely linked to the development of industry and has increased more or less continuously. During the post-war period until 1985, both rail, truck and shipping increased rapidly. Since 1985, almost all of the increase in freight transport work in Sweden has taken place by truck. This means that rail and maritime transport have reduced their share, contrary to the objectives of the EU and national transport policies.
The cost of transport (price) and quality are decisive for the choice of means of transport. Better environment is also a request but must not cost much. This is evident from all the research both in terms of models for the choice of means of transport and in studies of how customers choose the means of transport. Competition is fierce and customers change carriers if they can save money, which is natural.
Switching from rail to truck is often easier than the other way around. There are roads everywhere but no tracks. If rail transport to a place is shut down, the industrial tracks will also be closed down sooner or later, and then it will not be easy to start again if the situation changes. Admittedly, there are combined transports by truck and rail, but the transshipment costs money and takes time.
Until 2020, transport costs developed relatively similarly by rail and truck. Between 2021 and 2023, the cost of trucks increased through higher diesel prices, but from 2023 to 2025, the cost decreased through a lower diesel price, while the cost of freight trains increased through higher track fees. The cost difference between rail and truck has increased by 20% in favor of trucks in just a few years. This is due in roughly equal parts to increased track fees and reduced diesel prices.
Delays in train traffic have increased over the years, although there are variations. A method has been developed to calculate the socio-economic additional costs for delays. In 2023 and 2024, the additional costs were approximately SEK 9 billion/year as there was low punctuality for both passenger and freight traffic. The largest share of costs is made up of passenger and customer costs, which account for 65% of the total costs.
For several reasons, greater redundancy is needed in the railway network so that trains can run a different route than the one planned, if necessary:
· To make room for track work
· In the event of disruptions and traffic interruptions
· In case of lack of capacity so that another route can be chosen
· To create alternative transport routes in crisis and war
One problem is that it is not always easy to divert trains at a junction In many places where the tracks intersect, it is only possible to drive in one direction. Then you need triangle tracks that are shortcuts between different tracks.
One example is the ongoing overhead contact line replacement between Gothenburg and Alingsås. When the line is closed, trains between Gothenburg and Stockholm will have to be diverted via Borås-Herrljunga or Vänersborg-Herrljunga. The distance is longer and it takes 40-90 minutes longer to drive and turn around in Herrljunga. A significant part of this time could have been saved if triangular tracks had been built in Herrljunga and it could also be used in case of disturbances.
For the needs of the Armed Forces, redundancy in the railway network in the form of alternative routes and triangular tracks is of crucial importance. There is also a need for opportunities to distinguish between military and civilian transport, backup plans for manual traffic control and a railway corps with trained personnel for crisis and war.
To analyze the opportunities for the business community to use rail transport, we have conducted a number of in-depth interviews with about 25 transport customers, operators and transport companies. The interviews consistently show that the respondents feel that the cost picture for railways has changed negatively over the past ten years. Together with our analyses, the results indicate that the following measures are required to better exploit the potential of freight rail:
The cost of running freight trains must be reduced by 20%Interviews with customers and transport companies show that costs need to be reduced by 20% if rail is to increase its market share
2. The maintenance backlog must be worked off and quality increased
Delays for passenger and freight trains cost society SEK 9 billion per year – invest SEK 9 billion a year in maintenance and develop new methods and the maintenance backlog can be worked off in 10 years
3. Build redundancy in the rail network through triangular tracks and alternate routes
Facilitate the diversion of trains through better connections between lines and alternative routes – this is needed both to deal with disruptions, for track works and for the needs of the military
4. Introduce fair track charges for freight traffic
Freight traffic cannot pay for poorer train paths and lower priority – track charges must take into account the competitiveness of industry and the fact that Sweden has long distances compared to other countries
5. Set a goal for increased freight traffic by rail by 2030 where everyone contributes
· Government: Set a target for 2030, eliminate the maintenance backlog over 10 years and decide on competitive track charges for railways and industry
· The Swedish Transport Administration: Develop railway expertise and plan and prioritise for increased freight traffic by 2030
· Transport companies: Collaborate in a disturbed situation, develop new transport systems and market rail transport
· Transport customers: Collaborate in industry-wide transport systems and develop knowledge of rail logistics