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Faure, Xavier
Publications (2 of 2) Show all publications
Faure, X., Lebrun, R. & Pasichnyi, O. (2024). Impact of time resolution on estimation of energy savings using a copula-based calibration in UBEM. Energy and Buildings, 311, Article ID 114134.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Impact of time resolution on estimation of energy savings using a copula-based calibration in UBEM
2024 (English)In: Energy and Buildings, ISSN 0378-7788, E-ISSN 1872-6178, Vol. 311, article id 114134Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Urban Building Energy modelling (UBEM) has emerged in the last decade as an important tool to accelerate energy transition in the building sector. To fulfil one of its major purposes - forecasting energy savings for potential energy conservation measures at an urban scale, several challenges are still to be addressed. Two key challenges include: 1) the need to calibrate models with a large number of unknown parameters across numerous buildings (either individually or through archetype representation); 2) the limited availability of high-resolution measured data, which raises concerns about calibrated models based solely on yearly values for accurate energy savings forecast. This study addresses these challenges using a case study of 35 buildings in a district in Stockholm, Sweden. Firstly, a new iterative Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) method for calibration is proposed, incorporating a copula-based sampling process at each iteration. Secondly, the new calibration process is applied with three different time resolutions to examine the impact of data resolution on forecasted energy usage, particularly when applied to a classical energy conservation measure. Results demonstrate the efficiency of the new method across the 35 buildings, facilitating the rapid population of a final joint distribution for the nine unknown parameters considered in each building. While the marginals may be strongly influenced by the time resolution, the forecasted energy consumption remains identical across the three analysed time resolutions. However, a noticeable difference is observed when the ECM pertains to a formerly unknown or known parameter.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
Keywords
ABC, Calibration, Copula, Probabilistic, Time resolution, UBEM, Uncertainty
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-345709 (URN)10.1016/j.enbuild.2024.114134 (DOI)001217562100002 ()2-s2.0-85189705175 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20240527

Available from: 2024-04-18 Created: 2024-04-18 Last updated: 2024-05-27Bibliographically approved
Faure, X., Johansson, T. & Pasichnyi, O. (2022). The Impact of Detail, Shadowing and Thermal Zoning Levels on Urban Building Energy Modelling (UBEM) on a District Scale. Energies, 15(4), 1525, Article ID 1525.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Impact of Detail, Shadowing and Thermal Zoning Levels on Urban Building Energy Modelling (UBEM) on a District Scale
2022 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 15, no 4, p. 1525-, article id 1525Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

New modelling tools are required to accelerate the decarbonisation of the building sector. Urban building energy modelling (UBEM) has recently emerged as an attractive paradigm for analysing building energy performance at district and urban scales. The balance between the fidelity and accuracy of created UBEMs is known to be the cornerstone of the model's applicability. This study aimed to analyse the impact of traditionally implicit modeller choices that can greatly affect the overall UBEM performance, namely, (1) the level of detail (LoD) of the buildings' geometry; (2) thermal zoning; and (3) the surrounding shadowing environment. The analysis was conducted for two urban areas in Stockholm (Sweden) using MUBES-the newly developed UBEM. It is a bottom-up physics-based open-source tool based on Python and EnergyPlus, allowing for calibration and co-simulation. At the building scale, significant impact was detected for all three factors. At the district scale, smaller effects (<2%) were observed for the level of detail and thermal zoning. However, up to 10% difference may be due to the surrounding shadowing environment, so it is recommended that this is considered when using UBEMs even for district scale analyses. Hence, assumptions embedded in UBEMs and the scale of analysis make a difference.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG, 2022
Keywords
urban building energy model, UBEM, level of detail, LOD, shadowing, thermal zoning
National Category
Control Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-315893 (URN)10.3390/en15041525 (DOI)000824085600002 ()2-s2.0-85125073578 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20220728

Available from: 2022-07-28 Created: 2022-07-28 Last updated: 2023-08-28Bibliographically approved
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