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Publications (3 of 3) Show all publications
Chi, P. & Ma, X. (2025). One-Step Generation in Traffic Forecasting with Flow-Based Models. In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData: . Paper presented at 2025 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2025, Macau, China, Dec 8 2025 - Dec 11 2025 (pp. 5287-5292). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>One-Step Generation in Traffic Forecasting with Flow-Based Models
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025, p. 5287-5292Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Accurate traffic forecasting plays an indispensable role in modern Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Recent years have witnessed significant advancements in the modeling capabilities and inference efficiency of continuous-time generative models, which learn a dynamic system to transform a simple prior distribution into the target data distribution. Motivated by the emerging generative paradigm, we rethink the traffic forecasting task from the perspective of flow matching. Specifically, we propose to learn a velocity field that transports samples from a prior distribution to the distribution of future traffic values. We introduce two flow matching models based on different assumptions on prior distribution: the commonly used standard Gaussian distribution and the distribution of the historical traffic values. Furthermore, our approach incorporates the latest mean flow techniques to enable one-step generation, ensuring simplicity and high efficiency in both training and inference phases. In experiment on real world data, our proposed models demonstrate desirable performance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2025
Keywords
flow matching, generative model, spatial-temporal forecasting, traffic forecasting
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Computer Sciences Other Computer and Information Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-382391 (URN)10.1109/BigData66926.2025.11401816 (DOI)2-s2.0-105037816428 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2025 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2025, Macau, China, Dec 8 2025 - Dec 11 2025
Note

QC 20260601

Available from: 2026-06-01 Created: 2026-06-01 Last updated: 2026-06-01Bibliographically approved
Chi, P. & Ma, X. (2024). Spatial-Temporal Traffic Forecasting Based on Bottom-Up Representation Learning. In: 2024 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2024 - Proceedings: . Paper presented at 2024 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2024, Kuching, Malaysia, Oct 6 2024 - Oct 10 2024 (pp. 5300-5305). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Spatial-Temporal Traffic Forecasting Based on Bottom-Up Representation Learning
2024 (English)In: 2024 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2024 - Proceedings, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2024, p. 5300-5305Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

To implement proactive traffic management, traffic forecasting becomes an essential function of modern intelligent transport systems (ITS). Traffic flows on motorways exhibit substantial variability, making it necessary to capture high-frequency patterns in the spatiotemporal model. To address the challenges, a representation learning approach is leveraged in this paper to extract high-level features that facilitate traffic forecasting on motorway. A bottom-up learning structure is proposed to sequentially extract information from local to the global level. Computational experiments show that simple models with informative representation may achieve satisfactory performance for traffic prediction.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2024
Keywords
Intelligent Transportation System, Representation learning, spatial-temporal modeling, traffic forecasting
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-360566 (URN)10.1109/SMC54092.2024.10831697 (DOI)2-s2.0-85217843286 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2024 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2024, Kuching, Malaysia, Oct 6 2024 - Oct 10 2024
Note

Part of ISBN 9781665410205

QC 20250228

Available from: 2025-02-26 Created: 2025-02-26 Last updated: 2025-02-28Bibliographically approved
Chi, P. & Ma, X. (2023). Difforecast: Image Generation Based Highway Traffic Forecasting with Diffusion Model. In: Proceedings - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2023: . Paper presented at 2023 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2023, Sorrento, Italy, Dec 15 2023 - Dec 18 2023 (pp. 608-615). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Difforecast: Image Generation Based Highway Traffic Forecasting with Diffusion Model
2023 (English)In: Proceedings - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2023, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023, p. 608-615Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Monitoring and forecasting of road traffic conditions is a common practice for real traffic information system, and is of vital importance to traffic management and control. While dynamic traffic patterns can be intuitively represented by space-time diagrams, this study proposes a new concept of space-time image (ST-image) to incorporate physical meanings of traffic state variables. We therefore transform the forecasting problem for time-series traffic states into a conditional image generation problem. We explore the inherent properties of the ST images from the perspectives of physical meaning and traffic dynamics. An innovative deep learning based architecture is designed to process the ST-image, and a diffusion model is trained to obtain traffic forecasts by generating the future ST-images based on the historical patterns.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2023
Keywords
Diffusion model, generative model, image generation, traffic forecasting
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-350178 (URN)10.1109/BigData59044.2023.10386463 (DOI)2-s2.0-85184984022 (Scopus ID)
Conference
2023 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2023, Sorrento, Italy, Dec 15 2023 - Dec 18 2023
Note

Part of ISBN 9798350324457

QC 20240709

Available from: 2024-07-09 Created: 2024-07-09 Last updated: 2024-07-09Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0009-0006-5848-4433

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