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Bazilian, Morgan
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Publications (10 of 31) Show all publications
Engström, R. E., Howells, M. I., Destouni, G., Bhatt, V., Bazilian, M. & Rogner, H.-H. (2021). Corrigendum to “Connecting the resource nexus to basic urban service provision – with a focus on water-energy interactions in New York City” [31 (May) (2017) 83–94] (Sustainable Cities and Society (2017) 31 (83–94), (S2210670716305947), (10.1016/j.scs.2017.02.007)). Sustainable cities and society, 72, 103002, Article ID 103002.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Corrigendum to “Connecting the resource nexus to basic urban service provision – with a focus on water-energy interactions in New York City” [31 (May) (2017) 83–94] (Sustainable Cities and Society (2017) 31 (83–94), (S2210670716305947), (10.1016/j.scs.2017.02.007))
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2021 (English)In: Sustainable cities and society, ISSN 2210-6707, Vol. 72, p. 103002-, article id 103002Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The authors regret two instances of misinterpretation of input data and one formatting error in the previously published paper as titled above. First, the numerical estimates for water use in NYC electricity and natural gas supply were found to be incorrect due to a conversion error in a data file. This error has now been corrected and the estimates have been changed to correctly correspond to the references on which they are based on. These changes have led to a recalculation of indirect water use reduction potentials in the interventions studied in the paper. Second, two errors due to primary data misinterpretation related to the studied green roof intervention have been found and corrected. The first led to an overestimation of the green roofs’ energy use reduction potential in the previously published paper. The second led to an underestimation of their installation cost. These errors have also been corrected and all numerical results for the green roof intervention have been recalculated. In the updated sections 3 and 4 of the original publication (below), Table 2, Table 3, Fig. 2 and Fig. 3 are updated with the new results related to both indirect water use reductions and green roof performance and costs. The text in the below sections have been given minor adjustments to clarify this update. These changes make green roofs a less economically favourable intervention in comparison to the previously published results. It also makes indirect water use reductions relatively smaller compared to direct water use reductions. All other results as well as the conclusions of this paper are still valid and unchanged. Lastly, a typo in writing of Eq. (7) in the manuscript text has been corrected. There was no error in the equation used in the analysis; hence, no numerical results have been effected by this correction. The authors would like to apologise for any inconvenience caused. Corrected writing of Eq. (7), section 2.3.1: [Formula presented] Updated sections of the original publication.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2021
National Category
Water Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-309979 (URN)10.1016/j.scs.2021.103002 (DOI)000683803800012 ()2-s2.0-85107784510 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20220318

Available from: 2022-03-18 Created: 2022-03-18 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved
Korkovelos, A., Mentis, D., Bazilian, M., Howells, M., Saraj, A., Hotaki, S. F. & Missfeldt-Ringius, F. (2020). Supporting Electrification Policy in Fragile States: A Conflict-Adjusted Geospatial Least Cost Approach for Afghanistan. Sustainability, 12(3), Article ID 777.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Supporting Electrification Policy in Fragile States: A Conflict-Adjusted Geospatial Least Cost Approach for Afghanistan
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2020 (English)In: Sustainability, E-ISSN 2071-1050, Vol. 12, no 3, article id 777Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Roughly two billion people live in areas that regularly suffer from conflict, violence, and instability. Infrastructure development in those areas is very difficult to implement and fund. As an example, electrification systems face major challenges such as ensuring the security of the workforce or reliability of power supply. This paper presents electrification results from an explorative methodology, where the costs and risks of conflict are explicitly considered in a geo-spatial, least cost electrification model. Discount factor and risk premium adjustments are introduced per technology and location in order to examine changes in electrification outlooks in Afghanistan. Findings indicate that the cost optimal electrification mix is very sensitive to the local context; yet, certain patterns emerge. Urban populations create a strong consumer base for grid electricity, in some cases even under higher risk. For peri-urban and rural areas, electrification options are more sensitive to conflict-induced risk variation. In this paper, we identify these inflection points, quantify key decision parameters, and present policy recommendations for universal electrification of Afghanistan by 2030.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI, 2020
Keywords
Afghanistan, conflict, geospatial electrification, OnSSET, Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
National Category
Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-272785 (URN)10.3390/su12030777 (DOI)000519135100026 ()2-s2.0-85080971392 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20200429

Available from: 2020-04-29 Created: 2020-04-29 Last updated: 2024-03-18Bibliographically approved
Engström, R. E., Destouni, G., Howells, M. I., Ramaswamy, V., Rogner, H.-H. & Bazilian, M. (2019). Cross-Scale Water and Land Impacts of Local Climate and Energy Policy—A Local Swedish Analysis of Selected SDG Interactions. Sustainability, 11(7), 1847
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Cross-Scale Water and Land Impacts of Local Climate and Energy Policy—A Local Swedish Analysis of Selected SDG Interactions
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2019 (English)In: Sustainability, E-ISSN 2071-1050, Vol. 11, no 7, p. 1847-Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper analyses how local energy and climate actions can affect the use of water and land resources locally, nationally and globally. Each of these resource systems is linked to different Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs); we also explore related SDG interactions. A municipality in Sweden with the ambition of phasing out fossil fuels by year 2030 is used as illustrative case example. The local energy system is modelled in detail and indirect water and land requirements are quantified for three stylised decarbonisation scenarios of pathways to meeting climate and energy requirements (related to SDG13 and SDG7, respectively). Total local, national and global implications are addressed for the use of water and land resources, which relate to SDG6 for water, and SDG2 and SDG15 for land use. We find that the magnitude and location of water and land impacts are largely pathway-dependent. Some scenarios of low carbon energy may impede progress on SDG15, while others may compromise SDG6. Data for the studied resource uses are incoherently reported and have important gaps. As a consequence, the study results are indicative and subject to uncertainty. Still, they highlight the need to recognise that resource use changes targeting one SDG in one locality have local and non-local impacts that may compromise progress other SDGs locally and/or elsewhere in the world.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG, 2019
Keywords
climate-land-water-energy nexus; cross-scale SDG interactions; local climate policy; decarbonisation pathways
National Category
Energy Systems Environmental Management Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-276435 (URN)10.3390/su11071847 (DOI)000466551600024 ()2-s2.0-85064055285 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20200818

Available from: 2020-06-11 Created: 2020-06-11 Last updated: 2025-02-10Bibliographically approved
Korkovelos, A., Mentis, D., Siyal, S. H., Arderne, C., Rogner, H.-H., Bazilian, M., . . . De Roo, A. (2018). A geospatial assessment of small-scale hydropower potential in sub-saharan Africa. Energies, 11(11), Article ID 3100.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A geospatial assessment of small-scale hydropower potential in sub-saharan Africa
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2018 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 11, no 11, article id 3100Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Sub-Saharan Africa has been at the epicenter of an ongoing global dialogue around the issue of energy poverty. More than half of the world's population without access to modern energy services lives there. It also happens to be a sub-continent with plentiful renewable energy resource potential. Hydropower is one of them, and to a large extent it remains untapped. This study focuses on the technical assessment of small-scale hydropower (0.01-10 MW) in Sub-Saharan Africa. The underlying methodology was based on open source geospatial datasets, whose combination allowed a consistent evaluation of 712,615 km of river network spanning over 44 countries. Environmental, topological, and social constraints were included in the form of constraints in the optimization algorithm. The results are presented on a country and power pool basis.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG, 2018
Keywords
Electrification, Geographic information systems, Hydropower, Sub-Saharan Africa, Economic and social effects, Energy poverties, Hydropower potential, Optimization algorithms, Social constraints, Technical assessment, Hydroelectric power
National Category
Medical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-247086 (URN)10.3390/en11113100 (DOI)000451814000238 ()2-s2.0-85057780833 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20190503

Available from: 2019-05-03 Created: 2019-05-03 Last updated: 2023-11-24Bibliographically approved
Nikolakakis, T., Chattopadhyay, D. & Bazilian, M. (2017). A review of renewable investment and power system operational issues in Bangladesh. Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, 68, 650-658
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A review of renewable investment and power system operational issues in Bangladesh
2017 (English)In: Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, ISSN 1364-0321, E-ISSN 1879-0690, Vol. 68, p. 650-658Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Generation investments, especially large-scale variable renewable energy, requires careful scrutiny of the state of the power system. Power system planning and operations in a developing country like Bangladesh can often achieve significant" improvements in economics and security of supply, through modest and prudent investments. A review of the Bangladesh power sector is presented in this paper that highlights: (a) changes to dispatch protocols to undertake fuel-constrained dispatch optimization and ancillary services co-optimization and pricing; (b) issues related to the allocation of natural gas between sectors; and (c) a technology neutral investment framework. The study uses an hourly dispatch and ancillary services co-optimization model that also optimizes short to medium term investment decisions. The results demonstrate Bangladesh can: (a) reduce its production costs by 63% through more efficient dispatch; (b) reduce production costs by 77% by using an additional natural gas quota of 212 mmcfd (or a 23% increase); and (c) should have invested in power import and baseload gas/coal rather than expensive solar PV projects (proposed in 2011 at substantially higher cost at the time). When a carbon price is imposed in the model, the implied break even cost to justify the solar program is very high - in excess of $150/tonne.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2017
Keywords
Power system operations, Intermittent renewable energy, Dispatch optimization, Investment decisions, Ancillary services
National Category
Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-201223 (URN)10.1016/j.rser.2016.10.016 (DOI)000391899200048 ()2-s2.0-84994791385 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20170222

Available from: 2017-02-20 Created: 2017-02-20 Last updated: 2024-03-15Bibliographically approved
Engström, R. E., Howells, M. I., Destouni, G., Bhatt, V., Bazilian, M. & Rogner, H.-H. (2017). Connecting the resource nexus to basic urban service provision – with a focus on water-energy interactions in New York City. Sustainable cities and society, 31, 83-94
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Connecting the resource nexus to basic urban service provision – with a focus on water-energy interactions in New York City
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2017 (English)In: Sustainable cities and society, ISSN 2210-6707, Vol. 31, p. 83-94Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Urban water and energy systems are crucial for sustainably meeting basic service demands in cities. This paper proposes and applies a technology-independent “reference resource-to-service system” framework for concurrent evaluation of urban water and energy system interventions and their ‘nexus’ or ‘interlinkages’. In a concrete application, data that approximate New York City conditions are used to evaluate a limited set of interventions in the residential sector, spanning from low-flow toilet shifts to extensive green roof installations. Results indicate that interventions motivated primarily by water management goals can considerably reduce energy use and contribute to mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions. Similarly, energy efficiency interventions can considerably reduce water use in addition to lowering emissions. However, interventions yielding the greatest reductions in energy use and emissions are not necessarily the most water conserving ones, and vice versa. Useful further research, expanding the present analysis should consider a broader set of resource interactions, towards a full climate, land, energy and water (CLEW) nexus approach. Overall, assessing the impacts, trade-offs and co-benefits from interventions in one urban resource system on others also holds promise as support for increased resource efficiency through integrated decision making.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2017
Keywords
Integrated resource assessment, Multi-resource impacts, New York City, Urban service provision, Urban sustainability, Water-energy nexus, Decision making, Economic and social effects, Energy efficiency, Energy utilization, Gas emissions, Greenhouse gases, Water management, Integrated resources, Multi-resource, Urban services, Water energy, Water resources
National Category
Civil Engineering Environmental Management Water Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-207336 (URN)10.1016/j.scs.2017.02.007 (DOI)000406307300008 ()2-s2.0-85014923125 (Scopus ID)
Note

Correction in DOI 10.1016/j.scs.2021.103002

QC 20220223

Available from: 2017-06-07 Created: 2017-06-07 Last updated: 2025-02-10Bibliographically approved
Abbott, M., Bazilian, M., Egel, D. & Willis, H. H. (2017). Examining the food-energy-water and conflict nexus. Current Opinion in Chemical Engineering, 18, 55-60
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Examining the food-energy-water and conflict nexus
2017 (English)In: Current Opinion in Chemical Engineering, E-ISSN 2211-3398, Vol. 18, p. 55-60Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

There is growing evidence of a strong linkage or 'nexus' between conflict - both domestic and international - and food, energy, and water (FEW) resources and services. This article demonstrates a positive, significant correlation between two measures, FEW security and political stability, and reviews the evidence for how each of these three types of resource insecurities affects political and social stability. We describe what is known about the FEW-conflict nexus itself, note that remaining knowledge gaps include evidence on developing governance structures and preparing for climate change, and examine the types of policies that countries and international donors might take to help mitigate the role that FEW can play in affecting stability.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2017
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-301935 (URN)10.1016/j.coche.2017.10.002 (DOI)000417286700010 ()2-s2.0-85031818666 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20210915

Available from: 2021-09-15 Created: 2021-09-15 Last updated: 2023-01-09Bibliographically approved
Rentschler, J., Kornejew, M. & Bazilian, M. (2017). Fossil fuel subsidy reforms and their impacts on firms. Energy Policy, 108, 617-623
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Fossil fuel subsidy reforms and their impacts on firms
2017 (English)In: Energy Policy, ISSN 0301-4215, E-ISSN 1873-6777, Vol. 108, p. 617-623Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

While the potential adverse effects of fossil fuel subsidy reform are well documented for households, the literature has largely ignored the effect of subsidy reform on firms' competitiveness. This paper discusses how firms are affected by, and respond to, energy price increases caused by subsidy reforms. It highlights that cost increases (both direct and indirect) do not necessarily reflect competitiveness losses, since firms have various ways to mitigate and pass on price shocks. This paper presents and discusses direct and indirect transmission channels for price shocks, and firms' response measures: absorbing cost shocks into profits, inter-fuel substitution, increasing energy and material efficiency, and passing on price increases. It argues that further micro-econometric studies using enterprise surveys are essential for quantifying the role of these mechanisms, and for designing policy measures that ensure that competitiveness losses due to subsidy reforms are minimised.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2017
Keywords
Fossil fuel subsidies, Reform, Firms, Competitiveness, Response measures
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-212582 (URN)10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.036 (DOI)000406725800057 ()2-s2.0-85033401580 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20170824

Available from: 2017-08-24 Created: 2017-08-24 Last updated: 2024-03-15Bibliographically approved
Labordena, M., Patt, A., Bazilian, M., Howells, M. & Lilliestam, J. (2017). Impact of political and economical barriers for concentrating solar power in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 102, 52-72
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Impact of political and economical barriers for concentrating solar power in Sub-Saharan Africa
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2017 (English)In: Energy Policy, ISSN 0301-4215, E-ISSN 1873-6777, Vol. 102, p. 52-72Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) needs additional affordable and reliable electricity to fuel its social and economic development. Ideally, all of this new supply is carbon-neutral. The potentials for renewables in SSA suffice for any conceivable demand, but the wind power and photovoltaic resources are intermittent and difficult to integrate in the weak electricity grids. Here, we investigate the potential for supplying SSA demand centers with dispatchable electricity from concentrating solar power (CSP) stations equipped with thermal storage. We show that, given anticipated cost reductions from technological improvements, power from CSP could be competitive with coal power in Southern Africa by 2025; but in most SSA countries, power from CSP may not be competitive. We also show that variations in risk across countries influences the cost of power from CSP more than variations in solar resources. If policies to de-risk CSP investment to financing cost levels found in industrialized countries were successfully implemented, power from CSP could become cheaper than coal power by 2025 in all SSA countries. Policies to increase institutional capacity and cooperation among SSA countries could reduce costs further. With dedicated policy measures, therefore, CSP could become an economically attractive electricity option for all SSA countries.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2017
Keywords
Concentrating solar power, Geographic analysis, Renewable electricity trade, Sub-Saharan Africa, Transmission
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-200978 (URN)10.1016/j.enpol.2016.12.008 (DOI)000397357200007 ()2-s2.0-85004008380 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20170207

Available from: 2017-02-07 Created: 2017-02-07 Last updated: 2024-03-15Bibliographically approved
Mentis, D., Howells, M. I., Rogner, H.-H., Korkovelos, A., Arderne, C., Zepeda, E., . . . Scholtz, E. (2017). Lighting the World: the first application of an open source, spatial electrification tool (OnSSET) on Sub-Saharan Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 12(8), Article ID 085003.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Lighting the World: the first application of an open source, spatial electrification tool (OnSSET) on Sub-Saharan Africa
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2017 (English)In: Environmental Research Letters, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 12, no 8, article id 085003Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In September 2015, the United Nations General Assembly adopted Agenda 2030, which comprises a set of 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) defined by 169 targets. 'Ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all by 2030' is the seventh goal (SDG7). While access to energy refers to more than electricity, the latter is the central focus of this work. According to the World Bank's 2015 Global Tracking Framework, roughly 15% of the world's population (or 1.1 billion people) lack access to electricity, and many more rely on poor quality electricity services. The majority of those without access (87%) reside in rural areas. This paper presents results of a geographic information systems approach coupled with open access data. We present least-cost electrification strategies on a country-by-country basis for Sub-Saharan Africa. The electrification options include grid extension, mini-grid and stand-alone systems for rural, peri-urban, and urban contexts across the economy. At low levels of electricity demand there is a strong penetration of standalone technologies. However, higher electricity demand levels move the favourable electrification option from stand-alone systems to mini grid and to grid extensions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Physics Publishing (IOPP), 2017
Keywords
sustainable development goals, energy access modelling, geospatial data
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-206824 (URN)10.1088/1748-9326/aa7b29 (DOI)000406479300001 ()2-s2.0-85029154197 (Scopus ID)
Funder
J. Gust. Richert stiftelseSwedish Research Council
Note

QC 20170607

Available from: 2017-05-08 Created: 2017-05-08 Last updated: 2024-03-15Bibliographically approved
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