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Kulanovic, A., Nordensvärd, J. & Urban, F. (2026). The discursive silos of transport discourse in Sweden: Using future storylines to understand the polarization and politicization of sustainable aviation transitions. Futures: The journal of policy, planning and futures studies, 176, Article ID 103755.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The discursive silos of transport discourse in Sweden: Using future storylines to understand the polarization and politicization of sustainable aviation transitions
2026 (English)In: Futures: The journal of policy, planning and futures studies, ISSN 0016-3287, E-ISSN 1873-6378, Vol. 176, article id 103755Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Within the multi-level perspective (MLP) on sustainability transitions, there has been a rise in research on storylines and discursive framing that have become more central in understanding how competing narratives shape the trajectories of innovation. This paper examines how policy actors and stakeholders construct and frame competing scenario narratives of sustainable aviation futures. Using a scenario narrative framing approach, we analyze empirical data from focus groups and interviews with Swedish aviation sector actors. The findings reveal a discursive split: one set of narratives supports an active state fostering sustainable aviation through niche innovation (aligned with ecological modernism), while another advocates for limiting aviation altogether (reflecting green theory). These national narratives are contrasted by a multilateral, risk-averse discourse calling for international or EU-level decision-making processes. Our results highlight a deeper divide — scenario narratives are polarized and politicized, with transport mode innovations increasingly tied to political identities. Centre-right actors tend to support aviation innovation over rail, while green and Centre-left actors often argue the reverse. This politicization reflects broader discursive struggles, as seen in debates such as the proposed closure of Västerås regional airport and Bromma airport. This includes dissuading tourists who use aircrafts, excluding aviation from approaches to collective traffic and lacking integration in any public transport system. This leads to aviation being perceived neither as private nor collective transport in discourses and as ambivalent in policies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2026
National Category
Environmental Management
Research subject
Industrial Economics and Management
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-375163 (URN)10.1016/j.futures.2025.103755 (DOI)001650187900001 ()2-s2.0-105025257137 (Scopus ID)
Projects
SETA - Sustainable Energy Transformations in Aviation
Funder
Swedish Energy AgencySwedish Energy Agency
Note

QC 20260109

Available from: 2026-01-09 Created: 2026-01-09 Last updated: 2026-01-09Bibliographically approved
Ntostoglou, E., Martin, V., Khatiwada, D. & Urban, F. (2025). Path-dependencies in the transition to sustainable biowaste valorization: Lessons from a socio-technical analysis of Sweden and Greece. Waste Management, 192, 47-57
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Path-dependencies in the transition to sustainable biowaste valorization: Lessons from a socio-technical analysis of Sweden and Greece
2025 (English)In: Waste Management, ISSN 0956-053X, E-ISSN 1879-2456, Vol. 192, p. 47-57Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Achieving sustainable biowaste management is a key challenge for cities worldwide. In this context, biowaste valorization is an indispensable option for managing unavoidable biowaste and reducing the associated methane emissions. Several innovations that enable biowaste valorization are technologically mature. However, their implementation is still limited in most cities around the world. Therefore, it is essential to better understand the different pathways towards implementing biowaste valorization. This paper presents a case-study of two countries at different phases in their transition to biowaste valorization: Sweden as a case at a mature phase and Greece as a case at a formative phase. We apply the Technological Innovation Systems framework to investigate how innovation systems for biowaste valorization develop and associated path-dependencies. Our findings show that various path-dependence lock-ins can occur at different transition phases. Our empirical insights suggest that a focus on the diffusion of certain mature innovations can support the growth of biowaste valorization systems. However, it can also lead to path-dependence lock-ins that influence the systems’ resilience to shocks. We thus recommend decision-makers to pursue balance between the rapid diffusion of mature innovations for biowaste valorization and parallel support for experimenting with more radical innovations to harness the systems’ resilience to shocks.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2025
Keywords
Circular bioeconomy, Lock-in mechanisms, Path-dependency, System resilience, Technological innovation systems, Urban biowaste valorization
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-357160 (URN)10.1016/j.wasman.2024.11.030 (DOI)001365997500001 ()39586151 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85209884887 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20241206

Available from: 2024-12-04 Created: 2024-12-04 Last updated: 2025-09-10Bibliographically approved
Christley, E., Karakaya, E. & Urban, F. (2024). Analysing transitions in-the-making: A case study of aviation in Sweden. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 50, 100790-100790, Article ID 100790.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Analysing transitions in-the-making: A case study of aviation in Sweden
2024 (English)In: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, ISSN 2210-4224, E-ISSN 2210-4232, Vol. 50, p. 100790-100790, article id 100790Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The aim of this paper is to analyse contemporary transitions in the aviation industry in Sweden. We take a durational perspective to consider narratives as coordinating mechanism in sustainability transitions. We find that industry actors are constructing narratives for alternative aircraft fuels and technologies as they seek to maintain aviation's societal function whilst mitigating its climate impact. By reconciling memories of the past with their expectations for the future, narratives act to coordinate actors’ transition activities in the present. In this way, narrative are more than an initiator of transitions, but constitute paths in-the-making, highlighting the agency of actors in enacting change in the present and shaping sustainability transitions of the future.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
Keywords
Aviation Actors Sustainability transitions Narratives Temporality
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Research subject
Industrial Economics and Management
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-339987 (URN)10.1016/j.eist.2023.100790 (DOI)001125122400001 ()2-s2.0-85178184785 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, 50332-1
Note

QC 20240108

Available from: 2023-11-24 Created: 2023-11-24 Last updated: 2025-09-15Bibliographically approved
Urban, F., Nurdiawati, A., Harahap, F. & Morozovska, K. (2024). Decarbonizing maritime shipping and aviation: Disruption, regime resistance and breaking through carbon lock-in and path dependency in hard-to-abate transport sectors. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 52, Article ID 100854.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Decarbonizing maritime shipping and aviation: Disruption, regime resistance and breaking through carbon lock-in and path dependency in hard-to-abate transport sectors
2024 (English)In: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, ISSN 2210-4224, E-ISSN 2210-4232, Vol. 52, article id 100854Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Aviation and maritime shipping are hard-to-abate transport sectors that are heavily dependent on fossil fuels. They jointly account for nearly 10 % of global greenhouse gas emissions, while infrastructure and investments are locked into high-carbon pathways for decades. Fuels and technologies to decarbonize include advanced biofuels, electrofuels, hydrogen and electric propulsion. This research aims to analyse the decarbonization strategies for maritime shipping and aviation from a comparative perspective, and analyzing the role of different actors for disruption to break through carbon lock-in and path dependency. The research uses Sweden as a case study and applies qualitative methods, including expert interviews, focus group discussions and site visits. Our research finds that aviation and maritime shipping are slowly changing, albeit with different dynamics. Both sectors show that incumbent regime actors play a major role in shaping transition pathways and disrupting the (quasi)equilibrium, while niche innovation is often developed together by incumbents and niche players.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-347176 (URN)10.1016/j.eist.2024.100854 (DOI)001248212200001 ()2-s2.0-85194529971 (Scopus ID)
Funder
KTH Royal Institute of TechnologySwedish Energy Agency, P2020-90018KTH Royal Institute of TechnologySwedish Energy Agency, P2020-90018
Note

QC 20240703

Available from: 2024-06-03 Created: 2024-06-03 Last updated: 2025-05-05Bibliographically approved
Urban, F., Nurdiawati, A. & Harahap, F. (2024). Sector coupling for decarbonization and sustainable energy transitions in maritime shipping in Sweden. Energy Research & Social Science, 107, Article ID 103366.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Sector coupling for decarbonization and sustainable energy transitions in maritime shipping in Sweden
2024 (English)In: Energy Research & Social Science, ISSN 2214-6296, E-ISSN 2214-6326, Vol. 107, article id 103366Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The maritime shipping industry accounts for 3 % of global greenhouse gas emissions and delivers 90 % of globally traded goods. Maritime shipping is heavily reliant on fossil fuels. There is increasing policy pressure to cut emissions to achieve the Paris Agreement and to meet decarbonization targets. This paper aims to analyze sector coupling for decarbonization and sustainable energy transitions in maritime shipping, exploring the interlinkages between the transport, energy, industry, agriculture and forestry sectors. First, this paper analyses the opportunities and barriers for sector coupling between the maritime shipping sector and other industries. Second, this paper adds new knowledge on the wider implications of sustainable energy transitions and decarbonization for the maritime shipping sector, the role of various stakeholders in supporting or impeding sustainable energy transitions, policy issues at the international, regional and national level and the links to sector coupling. This research uses a mixed methods approach, applying both qualitative research including interviews and quantitative energy modeling. The research thereby links theories from sustainability transitions with techno-economic modeling approaches. Our research finds that the sector couplings between the transport, energy, industry, agriculture and forestry sectors are of growing importance as maritime shipping is transitioning towards decarbonized and renewable marine fuels. At the same time there is competition for scarce natural resources with other sectors, including aviation and road transport. Socio-technical aspects, particularly of financial and political nature, are key factors that determine the speed and direction of the transition, yet they remain under-explored.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV, 2024
Keywords
Circular economy, Climate change mitigation, Climate policy, Energy policy, Renewable marine fuels, Transport
National Category
Energy Systems Environmental Management
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-341601 (URN)10.1016/j.erss.2023.103366 (DOI)001134501400001 ()2-s2.0-85179438379 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20231227

Available from: 2023-12-27 Created: 2023-12-27 Last updated: 2025-02-10Bibliographically approved
Adodoadji-Dogbe, C. D. & Urban, F. (2023). Climate change, policy processes and local vulnerability. In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology: (pp. 338-353). Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Climate change, policy processes and local vulnerability
2023 (English)In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. , 2023, p. 338-353Chapter in book (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd., 2023
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-348446 (URN)10.4337/9781800882119.00034 (DOI)2-s2.0-85189598010 (Scopus ID)
Note

Part of ISBN 9781800882119, 9781800882102

QC 20240625

Available from: 2024-06-25 Created: 2024-06-25 Last updated: 2025-05-27Bibliographically approved
Urban, F. (2023). Decarbonizing energy-intensive industries: The case of the steel sector. In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology: (pp. 237-245). Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Decarbonizing energy-intensive industries: The case of the steel sector
2023 (English)In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. , 2023, p. 237-245Chapter in book (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd., 2023
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-348440 (URN)10.4337/9781800882119.00025 (DOI)2-s2.0-85189586163 (Scopus ID)
Note

Part of ISBN 9781800882119, 9781800882102

QC 20240625

Available from: 2024-06-25 Created: 2024-06-25 Last updated: 2025-05-27Bibliographically approved
Urban, F. & Nordensvärd, J. (2023). Disaster risk reduction, disaster risk management and climate change adaptation. In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology: (pp. 390-403). Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Disaster risk reduction, disaster risk management and climate change adaptation
2023 (English)In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. , 2023, p. 390-403Chapter in book (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd., 2023
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-348230 (URN)2-s2.0-85189594178 (Scopus ID)
Note

Part of ISBN 9781800882119, 9781800882102

QC 20240624

Available from: 2024-06-24 Created: 2024-06-24 Last updated: 2025-05-05Bibliographically approved
Urban, F. & Nordensvärd, J. (2023). Handbook on climate change and technology. Edward Elgar Publishing
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Handbook on climate change and technology
2023 (English)Book (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This timely Handbook presents the latest knowledge on technological innovation for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Looking beyond technical fixes, it further draws on economics, politics and sociology to explore how modern technology can contribute to effective and socially just sustainability transitions. Examining cutting-edge research on energy, transport and industry, this Handbook argues that we have the technologies and policy instruments needed to mitigate and adapt to climate change. However, for larger-scale implementation the support at the socio-economic and political levels has to be increased. Chapters further analyse the role that technology plays in key sectors, such as agriculture and forestry, in order to become more sustainable. Contributors also reflect on the position of technology in society, illustrating the wider socio-technical systems that determine the impact that new technologies can have. They call for the political will to implement and scale up technological measures to address climate change across the world. The Handbook on Climate Change and Technology will be essential reading for academics and students of climate change, energy, sustainability, and environmental governance and regulation. It will also be an invaluable resource for practitioners and policymakers seeking a deeper understanding of the role of technology in sustainability transitions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Edward Elgar Publishing, 2023
Series
Handbook on Climate Change and Technology
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-348220 (URN)10.4337/9781800882119 (DOI)2-s2.0-85189595152 (Scopus ID)9781800882119 (ISBN)9781800882102 (ISBN)
Note

QC 20240624

Available from: 2024-06-24 Created: 2024-06-24 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
Urban, F. & Nordensvärd, J. (2023). Introduction: How technology and climate change mitigation became intertwined. In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology: (pp. 3-15). Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Introduction: How technology and climate change mitigation became intertwined
2023 (English)In: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. , 2023, p. 3-15Chapter in book (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd., 2023
National Category
Economics Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-347521 (URN)2-s2.0-85189579912 (Scopus ID)
Note

Part of ISBN  9781800882119, 9781800882102

QC 20240611

Available from: 2024-06-11 Created: 2024-06-11 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0003-3021-0220

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