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Do crime hot spots affect housing prices?
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Urban and Regional Studies.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5302-1698
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9944-0510
2020 (English)In: Nordic Journal of Criminology, ISSN 2578-983X, E-ISSN 2578-9821, Vol. 21, no 1, p. 84-102Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Our knowledge about what happens to housing values when properties are close to places with high concentrations of crime, often called ‘hot spots’, is limited. Previous research suggests that crime depresses property prices overall, but crime hot spots affect house prices more than crime occurrence does and may affect prices of single-family houses more than prices of flats. Here we employ hedonic price modelling to estimate the impact of crime hot spots on housing sales, controlling for property, neighbourhood and city characteristics in the Stockholm metropolitan region, Sweden. Using a Geographic Information System (GIS), we combine property sales by coordinates into a single database with locations of crime hot spots. The overall effect on house prices of crime (measured as crime rates) is relatively small, but if its impact is measured by distance to a crime hot spot, the effect is non-negligible. By moving a house 1 km further away from a crime hot spot, its value increases by more than SEK 30,000 (about EUR 2,797). Vandalism is the type of crime that most affects prices for both multi- and single-family housing, but that effect decreases with distance from a crime hot spot.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Informa UK Limited , 2020. Vol. 21, no 1, p. 84-102
Keywords [en]
real estate, crime, Sweden, safety
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-283961DOI: 10.1080/2578983X.2019.1662595Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85076400636OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-283961DiVA, id: diva2:1475772
Note

QC 20220503

Available from: 2020-10-13 Created: 2020-10-13 Last updated: 2025-12-01Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full textScopushttps://doi.org/10.1080/2578983X.2019.1662595

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Ceccato, VaniaWilhelmsson, Mats

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Citation style
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