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Looking backward to the future:: On past-facing approaches to futuring
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Human Centered Technology, Media Technology and Interaction Design, MID. (MID4S)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7662-9687
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Human Centered Technology, Media Technology and Interaction Design, MID. (MID4S)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2162-8353
2021 (English)In: Futures: The journal of policy, planning and futures studies, ISSN 0016-3287, E-ISSN 1873-6378, Vol. 125Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

While the past is present in all futuring activities it tends to remain implicit and has not received adequate attention by futures scholars and practitioners. In response, this conceptual paper offers a novel framework with which the past can be brought into futures studies in a structured and comprehensive way. We begin by providing a brief account of how the past already figures in futures studies as part of efforts to understand the lingering effects of the past on the future; as part of a drive for ontological pluralization; and as a way to augment more mainstream futuring exercises. We then introduce two past-facing approaches to futuring, recasting and pastcasting, and illustrate their symmetry with the more familiar future-facing approaches, forecasting and backcasting. The symmetry, we argue, is based on shared aims and a shared style of inquiry. We then compare the different approaches and illustrate the landscape of futuring as an interplay of two dimensions: the focus of the activity on outcomes or pathways, and the stakes involved in it.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2021. Vol. 125
Keywords [en]
Counterfactuals, History, Recasting, Pastcasting, Futures Methods
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Human Computer Interaction
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-288888DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102666ISI: 000605615800008Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85097465360OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-288888DiVA, id: diva2:1517804
Projects
EVENTHMID4S
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, 48094-1
Note

QC 20210118

Available from: 2021-01-14 Created: 2021-01-14 Last updated: 2025-05-05Bibliographically approved

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Eriksson, ElinaPargman, Daniel

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
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  • Other style
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  • de-DE
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